Tag Archives: Broxton

Unknown Lefties Still a Mystery

It doesn’t seem to me that other teams struggle that much against pitchers that they don’t know very well.  Perhaps the first time through the order, but thereafter most teams seems to adjust.  And when that unknown pitcher is a lefthander, well, even after all these years and with a handful of very talented right-handed hitters in the lineup, lefties are still mostly a mystery to this team.

Take nothing away from Eduardo Rodriguez – who is a quality pitcher – but last night’s 6-3 loss to Rodriguez and the Red Sox (box score) could have been a replay of any of a number of dominating performances by various left-handers at the expense of the Cardinals over the years.

The early returns this year aren’t encouraging, either.  After going 5 for 22 (.227) against Rodriguez and lefty reliever Robby Scott, the Cards are now hitting .240 this season against left-handed pitching.

Tommy Pham

Since it’s never too early to mention things like this, Tommy Pham, batting second last night, was 0 for 3.  He is now 1 for 11 in his three starts hitting second.  Toss in an 0-for-3 in a start where he batted sixth, and Pham is 1 for 14 (.071 batting average and slugging percentage) when he bats higher than seventh.  In his 6 starts hitting seventh or eighth, Tommy is 12 for 24 (.500) with 4 doubles, 3 home runs, and 8 runs batted in (a 1.042 slugging percentage).

Randal Grichuk

After getting three hits Sunday afternoon against the Cubs, Randal Grichuk suffered through another 0 for 3 last night.  His average for the year is back down to .241, and his average for the month of May is right there, too, at .240 (12 for 50).  He has 1 home run, 3 runs batted in, and 15 strikeouts for the month, so far.

One of the most encouraging parts of Grichuk’s promising second half last year was his proficiency at hitting lefthanders.  From the All-Star Break through the end of the season, Randal was 17 for 50 (.340), with the hits including 7 doubles and 5 home runs (.780 slugging percentage) against left-handed pitching.

To this point of 2017, that punch against lefties has been absent.  With his 0 for 3 last night, Grichuk is now 3 for 22 (.136) against lefties so far his season.

Pitchers Struggle Some Against Lefties As Well

Although Boston’s left-handed hitters didn’t have the success that most lefties have had against Cardinal pitching this year (they are hitting .274/.368/.452 against us), the pitching staff did continue its trend of thriving against right-handed hitters.  Boston’s righties managed only 4 hits in 21 at bats (albeit one of those hits was a home run).  For the season, right-handers manage just a .226/.280/.359 batting line against the Cardinal pitching staff.

Lance Lynn

Lance Lynn served up two home runs for the second straight start and now has three multiple home run games this season.  It has been about the only blot on an otherwise impressive season that has seen Lance reach 4-2 on the season with a 2.78 ERA and a .205 opponents’ batting average.  The home runs bring Lance’s total to 8 allowed so far this year in 45.1 innings.  His career high is the 16 he allowed in 176 innings in 2012.

Jackie Bradley’s second-inning home run was the third home run this month and the sixth home run this year that Lance has given up to left-handed hitters.  He also walked one lefty and hit another.  For the season, left-handers have troubled Lance to the tune of a .566 slugging percentage and a .393 on base percentage.  Over his three starts in May, those numbers are .680 and .438.

Right-handed batters have been another story.  The righties in the Red Sox lineup were only 2 for 14 against Lynn (.143).  Over his three starts in May, he is holding right-handed batters to a .147 average (5 for 34) and to a .133 average (12 for 90) on the season.  Prior to Mookie Betts’ leadoff home run, Jayson Werth’s fourth-inning home run against Lance on April 11 in Washington was not only the only right-handed home run he had served up this year, but the only right-handed run batted in against Lance this season.

Jonathan Broxton

Jonathan Broxton pitched the seventh inning and gave up a hit.  Over his last 7 appearances – totaling 6.1 innings – Broxton has allowed 11 baserunners (3 walks to go with the now 8 hits).  None of them have scored.  In addition, Broxton has stranded his last two inherited runners.

Bradley’s leadoff single to left makes left-handed hitters 9 for 18 (.500) against Broxton so far this season.

That being said, Broxton hasn’t allowed an extra-base hit to anyone (right or left) since Milwaukee’s Manny Pina homered off him in the ninth-inning of their April 23 game.  That was 29 batters ago.

Sam Tuivailala

Sam Tuivailala was charged with his first run allowed since his return from Memphis.  In Sam’s two previous games, all seven batters who put the ball in play against him hit the ball on the ground.  Last night, the only two he faced both hit it in the air.

Sam has had issues with walking batters in his few innings this season, but that has only been a problem when facing lefthanders.  He has walked 3 of the 10 lefties he’s faced, while walking only 1 of the 20 right-handers who have been up against him.

Brett Cecil

Troubles continue for Brett Cecil who came on the eighth inning of a one-run game with a runner at first and one out.  He proceeded to walk the only two batters he faced (both lefthanders) to set up the final two runs of the game.  Although the run charged to him was ultimately unearned, the outing marked the fifth consecutive game that Brett has allowed a run.

The 26 batters Brett has faced in his 7 games this month are slashing .476/.538/.857 against him.  Eighteen of the 26 have been left-handed batters.  Their slash line against him has been .538/.611/1.154.  For the season 36 left-handed batters have taken their chances against Cecil, and have done OK against him (OK in this context translates into a .464/.528/.929 batting line).

I do think that Brett will figure things out eventually.  He’s had a long track record of getting lefties out.  But I repeat my concern about continuing to bring him into critical junctions of close games while he’s struggling.

Miguel Socolovich

Miguel Socolovich – who inherited the bases-loaded, one-out jam in the eighth inning last night did as well as could be expected.  He allowed one run on a fly ball and should have had the last out of the inning on the fly that Pham dropped.  After a shaky April, Socolovich has allowed only 3 hits in his 6 innings this month.  He has pitched more than one inning 5 times in his 12 games this season – including his last two.

Like Tuivailala, Socolovich throws strikes to right-handed batters.  Of the 30 lefties he’s faced so far, Miguel has walked 2 and hit 2.  He has walked only 2 of the 41 right-handed batters he’s faced (hitting none).

Cards Stop This Losing Streak Before It Starts

As I have pointed out several times – and am likely to point out several more – I keep a close eye on how the team responds after a loss.  I think it reflects the character of a team.  The concept, I think, is simple enough.  Every team loses games, but good teams have the character to avoid the losing streak.  The 100-win team of 2015 was 37-24 (.607) after losing a game.  Last year’s 86-win squad was 44-32 (.579) in those situations.

Preempting the Next Losing Streak

As the 2017 Cardinals have already endured three three-game losing streaks in their first 17 games, you might guess that they haven’t been terribly proficient at this so far – and you would be right.  In fact, all of their first nine losses had been a part of a three-game losing streak.  Last night’s crisp 6-3 win (box score) raised their record to only 4-6 in games after a loss.  They have won their last two, though.

Adam Wainwright

The man of the moment at the plate (with a single, a home run and 4 RBIs) and on the mound was longtime ace Adam Wainwright, who – in his third attempt this season – was finally able to halt a Cardinal losing streak.  Wainwright’s previous two attempts were both fairly disastrous.  He lasted 4 innings, giving up 6 runs on 11 hits in an eventual 14-6 battering at the hands of Washington, and then got pushed around by the Yankees, giving 4 more runs on 10 hits over 4.2 innings of a 9-3 loss.

Adam’s results last night were much better as he continued what has been a mostly excellent run of starting pitching.  With Waino’s solid five innings last night (during which he allowed only two runs), the starting rotation has managed a 3.06 ERA over 53 innings in the last 9 games.  The Cards have won 5 of the 9.

The bullpen continues to improve as well.

Jonathan Broxton

Jonathan Broxton pitched the sixth last night and gave up a single, but no extra-base hits.  He hasn’t given an extra-base hit, now, to any of the last 16 batters he’s faced.  He also walked a batter.  Broxton has walked at least one batter in four of his six appearances, and has totaled 6 walks (1 of them intentional) in his 5.2 innings.  His opponent’s on base percentage has risen to .444.

Brett Cecil

In Brett Cecil’s second game as a Cardinal he melted down, allowing 4 runs without retiring a batter in a brutal loss to the Cubs.  First impressions are hard to overcome, but over the course of his other 8 appearances so far, Brett has allowed only one other run while striking out 7 in 6.2 innings.  He has retired the last ten batters he’s faced, striking out five.

Trevor Rosenthal

Trevor Rosenthal (who pitched the eighth inning last night) has given up some hits – 6 of them in his 4.1 innings, including a home run last night.  But he has walked none of the 19 batters he’s faced so far this year.

Seung-hwan Oh

Seung-hwan Oh picked up the save last night.  He has saves in his last three games.  After allowing runs in each of his first three games, Oh has allowed just one in his last four outings.

Also encouraging, the offense is beginning to show its first hints of life this season.

Jedd Gyorko

After going 0 for 3 in the Pittsburgh series, Jedd Gyorko has been the first to take advantage of Jhonny Peralta’s absence from the lineup.  With two more hits last night, Gyorko is 5 for 7 with a home run so far in the series.  Now up to .316 on the season, Jedd has been even better in games after a loss.  He is 9 for his first 27 (.333) with a double and two home runs (a .593 slugging percentage) playing in 8 of the 10 games the Cards have already played after losing the game before.

Kolten Wong

Kolten Wong has now started five consecutive games for the first time this season.  He doubled, singled and was given an intentional walk last night, making him 5 for 15 (.333) over those five games.  Even better, his hits include a double, triple and home run, leading to a .733 slugging percentage and 4 runs batted in in the five games that he’s been in lineup.

Kolten has yet to strike out in 8 plate appearances in this series, and has fanned just once in his last 17 plate appearances.  He is 3 for 7 so far against Milwaukee.

Wong is now 6 for 23 (.261) when he plays in the game after a Cardinal loss, but four of those hits (3 doubles and a home run) have gone for extra-base hits, and he’s added four walks in those contests.  He is slugging .522 with a .370 on base percentage in games that follow a loss.

Stephen Piscotty

When Stephen Piscotty helped beat Washington on April 12 with three hits and five RBIs, it looked like he had turned a corner.  Since then, Piscotty has just 5 hits (and 7 strikeouts) in 25 at bats (a .200 average).  He entered last night’s game after Dexter Fowler’s foot started acting up, going 0 for 2 with a strikeout.  He is now 1 for 5 with 3 strikeouts in the series.

With 11 runs scored in the first two games of this series, this has already been the second highest scoring series for the Cards this year.  They scored 15 runs in the three games against Washington.  St Louis is 23 for 72 in the first two games of this series, with ten extra base hits – 3 of them home runs.  This equates to a .319 team batting average and a .556 slugging percentage against a Milwaukee pitching staff that began the series with a 4.07 team ERA.

NoteBook

Last night – in the season’s seventeenth game – the Cardinals finally won a game when they didn’t score the first run.  When Kolten Wong drove in three runs with a triple in the second inning the night before (game # 16 of the season) it was the first time all year the Cards had erased a deficit of any size at any time during a game.

Wacha Betrayed by Defense, Falls to Dodgers 8-4

While not his best outing by any means, Wacha’s night could have been better had he not been undone by a sloppy four-error night by his defense.  Some highs and lows:

Yadier Molina

Among the more frustrating aspects of the Cardinals’ offensive struggles last year was the inability of their right-handed batters to make a significant impact against left-handed pitchers.  Yadier Molina was a case in point.  Last year, Molina hit a soft .232 against lefty pitching, with no home runs and 14 runs batted in.  Even though he is off to a terrific offensive start this season (and he goes into tonight’s game against the lefty Kazmir with a .341 overall average), that still isn’t translating into much production against left handers.  Molina is just 7 for 29 (.241) with 4 singles, 3 doubles and 4 runs batted in against them.  Yadi has, however, managed 5 walks against lefties already this year (he walked only 16 times against them all last year) and currently owns a .353 on base percentage against them.

The bulk of Molina’s damage, then, has come at the expense of right-handed pitchers.  After his 2-for-4 last night, Yadi is now hitting .371 (36-for-97) against right handers.  Here is the note of warning, though.  In 2015 Molina maintained a .304 batting average against righties at the All-Star break.  In the season’s second half – as the workload caught up with him – his numbers against righties fell to .248.

Aledmys Diaz

Aledmys Diaz added a double and home run last night against Dodger right-hander Ross Stripling.  While Diaz has been plenty effective against lefties (.344/.364/.563 in 33 plate appearances), he – like most of the Cardinal right-handed hitters – has bedeviled right-handed pitchers.  Aledmys is now 32 for 79 against righties this season, with 4 home runs and 14 runs batted in.  His slash line against them is .405/.435/.734 as now 17 of those 32 hits have gone for extra-bases.

And, yes, there have been errors from time to time.

Randal Grichuk

Randal Grichuk is off to a slow start in general.  He’s actually been worse against left-handers (.161 on 5 of 31 hitting), but also hasn’t found his stroke against right-handed pitching.  After his 0-for-4 last night, Randal is now 18 for 81 (.222) when facing right-handers.  In 2015 he hit the All-Star break carrying just a .269 average against righties, but closed out the season with a .303/.398/.592 slash line against them in the second half.

Michale Wacha

Michael Wacha allowed no home runs last night, but he continues to be stung by extra-base hits by left-handed batters.  Lefties were only 2-for-7 against him last night, and are only hitting .237 against Wacha this season (14-for-59).  But both hits he allowed them were doubles (to Gonzalez and Pederson).  Of the 14 hits that left-handers have off of Wacha so far this season, 8 have been for extra-bases (3 home runs, a triple, and now 4 doubles).  Lefties are slugging .492 against Wacha thus far.

Tyler Lyons

The 192 right-handed batters that faced Tyler Lyons last year only hit .258 against him (a reasonably good number).  Then as now, the problem has been that when they hit him, they hit him hard.  He served up 9 home runs right-handed hitters (six of them after the All Star break), and surrendered his fourth to a right-handed hitter (Puig on his first pitch last night) in now just 45 at bats by right-handers against him.  Their slash line against Tyler is .289/.333/.622.

On the plus side, Lyons has gotten much better against lefties.  They are just 3 for 18 against him (.167) although one of those hits was a home run (off the bat of Jake Lamb in Arizona).

Jonathan Broxton

Jonathan Broxton retired both right-handers to face him last night (one on a strikeout).  Broxton has had command issues (mostly against lefties, as he’s walked 7 of the 25 he’s faced so far this year), but he has been very strong against right-handed hitters.  They are now just 5 for 37 (.135) with 11 strikeouts against him this year.

Offense Pushes Arizona Around Again, 11-4

During the three games against the Cubs that closed out the last home stand and the first game in San Diego, the roller-coaster offense managed a total of 7 runs.  They have scored at least 7 runs in each of the five games since.  The season is 21 games old, and the Cardinals are still averaging 6.52 runs per game and slugging .504 as a team.

In winning four of these last five games, the rebounding Cardinal offense has hit .344 (66 hits in their last 192 at bats).  Twenty-four of the hits have been for extra bases, including 10 home runs.  In averaging 9 runs a game during this recent spree, the team has managed a .604 slugging percentage.

Along the way, they have beaten right-handed pitchers like so many drums.  After Corbin left last night, the Redbirds feasted on Arizona’s right handed bullpen to the tune of 6-for-14 (.429).  Over the last five games and 141 at bats, St Louis bats have slashed .376/.433/.695 against right-handers.

While going 7 for 18 (.389) with runners in scoring position last night, the Cardinals’ average in that situation actually went down.  Over the last five games, St Louis is hitting an even .400 (22-for-55) with a .673 slugging percentage with RISP.

The recent hitting spree has even extended to two-strike counts.  St Louis went 6-for-17 (.438) with four walks last night with two strikes on them.  The last 95 Cardinal batters who have hit with two strikes on them are batting .376 (32-for-85) with 9 walks.  The same holds true when there are two outs, the offense was also 6-for-14 with two outs last night, driving in 5 two-out runs.  Over the last five games, they have hit .368 (25-for-68) with two outs.  When the pitcher can’t get either the third strike or the third out, he’ll be in for a very long, short night.

Additionally, the late-inning thumping is starting to develop as a definite pattern.  Through five innings last night, the Cards had 2 runs on 3 hits.  Over the last four innings, they hit .478 and scored 9 runs.  Over the last five games, St Louis has scored a total of 6 runs while hitting just .227 in the first four innings of those games.  From the fifth innings on, the offense has kicked in 39 runs and hit .419.  All of their last ten home runs have come after the fourth inning.

Stephen Piscotty

Mr. Piscotty is heating up nicely in the midst of this resurgence.  After a 4-for-5 night, Piscotty has 11 hits in his last 24 at bats (.458) with 2 home runs and 7 RBIs (this is just the last 5 games) and a .792 slugging percentage.

Stephen’s only at bat against a right-hander last night was his RBI single against Delgado in the ninth.  The right-handed Piscotty is now 8 for his last 19 (.421) against right-handed pitchers.

Stephen took the first pitch in five of his six plate appearances last night, three of them balls and two others called strikes.  As Piscotty dials in, his selectivity improves.  He went 4-for-5 in the at bats where he took the first pitch.  He is 8 for his last 16 with three extra-base hits when laying off the first pitch thrown to him.  He was also 2-for-3 last night and 4-for-12 over the last five games when hitting with two-strikes on him.

Aledmys Diaz

At the very top of this over-achieving offense is rookie shortstop and eighth-place hitter Aledmys Diaz.  With two more hits last night, including the home run that switched the momentum of the game, Diaz is now hitting .591 (13-for-22) over the last five games, with 2 home runs and 5 RBIs of his own.  He has 21 total bases in his last 22 at bats (.955 slugging pct.).

Diaz is another right-handed batter who is currently savaging right-handed pitching.  One-for-two against righties last night, Diaz is 11 for his last 17 (.647) against them with a .941 slugging percentage.

Aledmys’ seventh inning single came on a 2-2 pitch.  Diaz has five hits in his last seven at bats with two strikes on him.

These waves of offense have mostly carried a pitching staff that still hasn’t completely righted itself.  The last time through the rotation, only two starters have managed quality starts, and the team ERA sits at an unimpressive 4.30.  This number includes a 5.52 ERA from the bullpen – most of this damage coming in the sixth inning of Monday’s game in Arizona.

One area where the pitchers have done well over these last five games is getting outs when there are runners in scoring position.  The Diamondbacks were only 1-for-8 last night, and over the five games opposing batters are just .204 hitters (10-for-49) in RISP situations.

Adam Wainwright

Of the 22 batters Adam Wainwright faced last night, only two swung at his first pitch.  For the evening, only four of the 37 Diamondback hitters offered at the first pitch.

Seung-hwan Oh

A bright spot all season, Oh has been one of a handful of relievers who have held solid during these last few choppy games.  Oh extinguished a two-on, one-out sixth inning mess and went on to retire all four batters he faced.  Seung-hwan has pitched in three of the last five games, retiring all eleven batters to face him – striking out six of the eleven.

Jonathan Broxton

Jonathan allowed a single to the left-hander Lamb, but retired all four of the right-handers to appear against him.  Over these last five games, righties are 0-for-11 with 4 strikeouts against him.