If you were to glance over the Cardinal’s top 30 prospect list from last year, I wonder if the same omission would jump out to you that jumps out to me.
For nostalgia purposes, the 2018 list read Alex Reyes (1); Nolan Gorman (2); Dakota Hudson (3); Ryan Helsley (4); Andrew Knizner (5); Randy Arozarena (6).
Of the first six, only Gorman hasn’t appeared in the majors – and shown significant promise. Continuing, we come to:
Elehuris Montero (7); Justin Williams (8); Conner Capel (9); Griffin Roberts (10); Max Schrock (11); Dylan Carlson (12) – yes Carlson, the current number 2 prospect was twelfth behind Max Schrock just a year ago. Then we had some lower prospects who vaulted past higher rated guys:
Genesis Cabrera (13); Junior Fernandez (14); Edmundo Sosa (15). After these guys, the rest were mostly lower level guys, but still legitimate prospects:
Luken Baker (16); Jonatan Machado (17); Jake Woodford (18); Steven Gingery (19); Ramon Urias (20); Lane Thomas – yes, that Lane Thomas was #21 last year; Seth Elledge (22); Giovanny Gallegos, believe it or not, was just our number 23 prospect last year; Wadye Ynfante (24); Johan Oviedo (25); Alvaro Seijas (26); Evan Mendoza (27); Delvin Perez (28) – remember what a big deal his selection in the first round a couple of years ago was?; Daniel Poncedeleon (now spelled Ponce de Leon) (29); and Connor Jones (30).
There are a couple of pitchers that I would have thought would have been on that list. Austin Gomber would be one, and glaringly Jordan Hicks didn’t make the list, although he certainly would have qualified.
Also not making that list is a player who has been in the bigs slightly more than two months, and even though the positions he plays are usually manned by established major-league stars, he has so ingrained himself that manager Mike Shildt can’t keep him out of the lineup.
Yesterday afternoon, Tommy Edman (nowhere to be found on the 2018 prospect list) singled twice, drove the fifth home run of his big league career, and scored twice – every bit of that production critical as the Cards held on for a 5-4 win over Cincinnati (box score).
Fifty-four games and 185 plate appearances into his major league career, Tommy’s numbers are decidedly average. He is hitting .271/.303/.429 for a modest .732 OPS (the major league average according to baseball reference is .761). Nothing here – you would think – to entrench him in the lineup.
And, truthfully the numbers – at least some of the numbers – don’t suggest that Tommy is anything special. But you don’t have to watch Mr. Edman go about his business for very long before your eyeballs tell you something the numbers don’t quite, yet.
Tommy Edman is a ballplayer. Defensively, Edman plays everywhere. He has started games at third, second and right field, and could play anywhere else on the diamond (not sure about catcher, but I wouldn’t be surprised). He never seems out of place anywhere he plays. He is a smooth, effortless fielder with a strong and accurate arm.
And he plays with a very even demeanor. Already he has been through some slumps, but you could never tell by watching him whether he was 10 for his last 20 or 0 for his last 20.
A switch-hitter, Edman’s swing is very polished from both sides of the plate. Already he appears very comfortable fouling off the more difficult pitches to wait for one he can put into play.
In his 16 plate appearances in Cincinnati over the long weekend, Tommy swung at 31 pitches. He fouled off 14 of those pitches (45.2%), put 13 other pitches into play (41.9%), and missed on just 4 swings (12.9%). These numbers are mostly consistent with Edman’s performance across his brief major league stay – especially recently.
For the month of August – a month in which his 60 plate appearances ranks second to only Paul Goldschmidt’s 61 – Edman leads the team by putting the ball in play with 46.2% of his swings (the team average is just 33.7%). He has missed on just 15.1% of his swings – which also leads the team (the average is 26.7%).
While the split in Cincinnati was a bit disappointing, those wins give St Louis victories in 7 of its last 9 games. In those games, Tommy is 14 for 36 (.389).
For a 24-year-old rookie, Edman is very advanced. Even if his primary numbers don’t suggest it clearly yet, everything else about Tommy suggests that he is going to be a very good player for a very long time. For now, he is someone that Shildt will continue to find at bats for.
Kolten Wong didn’t start on Sunday (possibly because Cincy was starting a lefty?) one day after his 0-for-3 interrupted a six game hitting streak (in games that he started). There are few hitters hotter than Kolten right now. During the streak, he hit .500 (10 for 20) and slugged .750 (2 doubles and 1 home run).
Kolten is a .381 hitter this month (16 for 42), and a .371 hitter in the second half.
In game two of the series, the Cards rapped out 18 hits on their way to a 13-4 victory (box score). For the other three games, they totaled 17 hits. So more than one Cardinal finished the series with big numbers that were mostly the product of that one game. Dexter Fowler is one of those. He finished the series hitting .357 (5 for 14), with 3 of those hits coming on Friday night.
Still, Dexter has been one of the driving forces of the offense over the last 9 games. He is slashing .310/.417/.586 over his last 36 plate appearances.
Like Fowler, Marcell Ozuna also had 3 hits on Friday and finished the series 5 for 14 (.357). Marcell is 10 for 31 (.323) over the last 9 games.
There has been a very subtle change in Marcell’s at bats since he returned from his injury. Before the injury, Ozuna swung at 47.3% of the pitches thrown to him, and his at bats averaged only 4.05 pitches per. In 16 plate appearances against Cincy, Marcell saw 72 pitches (4.50 per) and only swung at 32 (44.4%). Since his return, the percentage of pitched that he is offering at has decreased to 40.7%, and his pitches per at bat has risen to 4.52 – the most on the team this month.
Goldschmidt was 5 for 15 (.333) against the Reds, with 4 of the 5 hits going for extra-bases – including 2 home runs. Paul is 12 for 34 (.353) over these last 9 games, with 3 home runs, 10 runs batted in, and a .676 slugging percentage.
Michael Wacha started the Thursday game and was almost on the wrong side of history (box score). Although saddled with the close loss, Wacha did throw five encouraging innings. Relegated to fifth starter status, Wacha has only pitched 8.2 innings this month, but in those innings Michael has induced 21 ground balls to 11 fly balls – a 65.6% ratio. A very good sign for Wacha.
Adam Wainwright got the Friday start and the benefit of all of the runs. Waino has had some starts where offensive support was hard to come by, but has also now had three starts since the All-Star break where the team has scored in double-digits when he’s pitched – a 12-11 win over Cincinnati on July 19, and a 14-8 conquest of Pittsburgh on July 24.
Miles Mikolas had a second consecutive rough outing on Saturday (box score). He is 0-2 with a 6.61 ERA for the month of August, and over his last 17 starts, Miles is just 3-11 with a 4.44 ERA.
Jack Flaherty finally gave up a run this month (in the first inning of the Sunday game), but that was all the damage done against him. In 4 August starts, Jack is 3-0 with a 0.35 ERA. In 7 starts since the break, he holds an 0.83 ERA over 43.1 innings.
After making 29 consecutive starts at shortstop, Paul DeJong began Saturday’s game on the bench. It had been the team’s longest consecutive starting streak at the same position. That mantle reverts back to Goldschmidt, who has now made 24 consecutive starts at first base.
Ozuna drove in the first run of Friday night’s avalanche – bringing him to 10 game-winning RBIs this season, and temporarily tying him with Goldschmidt for the team lead. Paul regained the lead with his eleventh GWRBI on Sunday.
Friday’s start was Wainwright’s twenty-third of the season. After making just 8 starts last year and 23 in 2017, Waino is on pace to make 30 starts for the first time since he made 33 in 2016. His 126.2 innings pitched are already his most since throwing 198.2 innings in 2016. With 127 hits and 85 runs allowed already, Adam will also probably end up with more hits and runs given up in any season since 2016 as well.
The home run he served up on Friday night was the sixteenth hit off Adam this season – already the third highest total in his 14-year career. His career high came in 2016 when he served up 22.
With the walk allowed, Waino has 50 for the season. He has reached 60 walks only twice so far in his career.
Adam’s 6 strikeouts Friday bring him to 124 for the season – already more than either of the last two years. At this pace Adam may end up with more strikeouts than in any season since he fanned 179 in 2014.
Fowler’s last healthy, full season was 2015. He played 156 games and had 596 at bats that year, and hasn’t played in more than 125 games or had more than 456 at bats since. Sunday was his 112th game, providing his 349th at bat of 2019.
In his three seasons in St Louis, Dexter has never had more than 111 hits. With 5 against the Reds, Fowler already has 87 this year. Last year he had a four-year streak of twenty or more doubles broken. His double Friday night was his eighteenth on this season. With his home run that night, Fowler is within 4 of his career high – 18 set in 2017.
Goldschmidt has still played in every game this year – all 122 so far. He played 158 last year. The closest he has come to playing all the games was 2013, when he played in 160. He is now, also, up to 457 at bats after finishing with 593 last year. He has been over 600 at bats in a season just once in his career.
Up, now, to 28 home runs this year, Paul is just 5 behind the 33 he hit last year.
Mikolas – Saturday’s starter – continues to gain on many of the career highs he set last year. The start was his twenty-fifth of this year, leaving him just 7 starts away from the 32 he made last year. The 7 hits allowed bring him to 153 already this year, after allowing 186 last year. With 2 walks given up. Miles has walked just 25 batters this year – but walked just 29 last year.
The 5 runs scored off of him last night bring him to 72 for the season – a career high. He allowed 70 all last year. He also allowed 2 home runs. Having already set a career high in that category, Mikolas reaches the 20-mark in home runs allowed for the first time in his career (he has now allowed 21).
When St Louis opened up a 12-0 lead on Cincinnati during Friday’s game, it was their biggest lead in a game since May 9, when they beat Pittsburgh by 13 runs – 17-4.
Friday’s win brought the team earned run average under 4 (3.99) for the first time all season. The stay was brief. After the Reds dropped 6 runs on the Cards the next night, the team ERA popped back up to 4.01.