Tag Archives: Ponce de Leon

A Tale of Two Bullpens

Not too surprisingly, the implosion happened quickly.

Billed as a battle of high-profile starters, the Cardinals’ Jack Flaherty and the Dodgers’ Trevor Bauer did all they could to live up to the expectations.  Flaherty served up two solo home runs in the second, but gave no other hits.   Bauer shut the Cardinals out for five innings, yielding just one hit to that point.

But Trevor blinked a bit in the sixth – allowing two home runs of his own – and suddenly St Louis was in front, 3-2.  Flaherty, though, didn’t get to enjoy the lead.  The Cardinals removed their talented right-hander for precautionary reasons after he felt a pull in his side – trusting their precarious one-run lead into the hands of a bullpen that has been more than a little precarious itself lately.

When Trevor re-took the mound for the seventh inning, his 3-2 deficit had magically evolved into a 6-3 lead.  More about the struggles of the Cardinal bullpen in a moment.

Los Angeles’ own bullpen came into play before Bauer could get out of the seventh.  With one out, he served up a third home run, and surrendered a single with two outs that brought up the tying run, occasioning his departure from the game.

In stark contrast to the Cardinal bullpen, the three Dodgers called upon to close out the game came in throwing strikes.  While the LA batters continued to pad their lead (and they mounted a total of seven runs over the three innings that St Louis’ relievers worked), Victor Gonzalez, Nate Jones and Phil Bickford had the Cardinals seven up, and seven retired.  Along the way they threw 20 of their 25 pitches for strikes (80%), including first-pitch strikes to all seven hitters.

They were the mostly overlooked heroes of Los Angeles’ convincing 9-4 win over the Cards (box score).  Including Bauer, the Dodger pitching staff combined to throw first-pitch strikes to 24 of the 33 Cardinals who came to the plate last night.  St Louis was 3 for 23 (.130) with a walk in those at bats.

With the loss, St Louis officially surrenders first place in its division.  Following a two-game sweep of Pittsburgh on May 18-19, the Cards sat 3.5 games ahead in the NL Central.  But over the last 11 games, the caliber of the opponents faced has risen sharply, and the Cards to this point have not risen to the challenge.  Their recent 5-6 skid includes losing two-of-three to the Cubs, two-of-three to the White Sox, and now the first game of their current series to the Dodgers.

At the heart of the stumbled has been a collapsing bullpen.  But their exploits have been heightened by fading contributions from an offense that has scored just 3.64 runs per game over their last 11 games – a streak in which they have seen some aggressive pitching, with 63.5% of the batters seeing first-pitch strikes.


One of the hitting stalwarts for most of the month, Paul Goldschmidt faded toward the end.  Hitless in three at bats last night, Goldy finished May in a 1-for-13 skid.  Over the last 11 games, Paul is just 8 for 39 (.205).  He is hitting .182 (4-for-22) in those games with one extra-base hit when thrown a first-pitch strike.


Nolan Arenado – who was terrific overall in May – also faded during the Cardinals’ recent downturn.  Nolan (0-for-4 last night) has played in 10 of the last 11 games, hitting .175 (7-for-40) with a .205 on base percentage (1 intentional walk and 1 hbp).

Throughout the season, Arenado is one Cardinal you don’t want to fall behind.  In 87 at bats this year when the pitcher starts off with ball one, Nolan is a .356 hitter with 8 home runs.  Lately, though, that dynamic is changing.  He was 0 for 2 last night after the pitcher missed with the first pitch, and is now just 1 for his last 14 after getting ahead 1-0 in the count.


Yadier Molina also went hitless in four at bats (the 3-4-5 spots in the Cardinal order combined to go 0-for11), bringing to an end his five-game hitting streak.  Yadi hit .391 (9 for 23) and drove in 5 runs (including 2 game-winners) during the streak.

The Bullpen Goes Boom Again

When Flaherty was deemed unable to pitch the sixth, Mike Shildt sent Ryan Helsley to the mound.  I’ll admit that my heart sank a bit.  Helsley – whose struggles I’ll document below – hasn’t pitched well enough lately to merit a high leverage opportunity.  But, in Shildt’s defense, who else could he send out there?  Excellent for much of this early season, one by one all of the talented set-up arms in the bullpen have hit on hard times.  If this team can get to the eighth, Giovanny Gallegos and Alex Reyes are still performing at high levels.  Everyone else has just been spreading line drives around the stadium (and walks, of course).

After Flaherty faced 18 batters over five innings (leaving with that 3-2 lead) four relievers faced 20 batters over the last three innings, serving up 7 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks.  The Los Angeles batting line after Jack left the game was .471/.550/.882.

Over the last 11 games, Cardinal relievers have sunk to a 5.26 ERA – while unintentionally walking 5.26 per nine innings.  They ended the month of May with a 4.55 ERA and 5.75 unintentional walks per nine innings.  During the just concluded month, Cardinal relievers allowed 39 of 72 inherited runners to score – a distressing 54.2% that includes all 3 of last night’s inherited runners.


Ryan Helsley faced 68 batters over his first 17 appearances this season without allowing an extra-base hit.  He’s given 6 to the last 31 to face him.  In the fateful sixth inning last night, Ryan faced 3 batters, allowing a double and a single after getting the first batter to ground out.  Both of those runners came home to score.

Helsley has now allowed runs in 5 of his last 7 games, giving 10 total runs on 10 hits and 5 walks in his last 5 innings.  The last 31 batters to face him have prospered to the tune of a .400/.500/.720 batting line.

The only batter that Ryan didn’t throw a first-pitch strike to was the last batter he faced – Justin Turner – who stroked a 3-1 pitch into left for a single.  When Ryan misses with his first pitch this season, batters are 10 for 30 (.333) with 13 walks – a .535 on base percentage.

Ponce de Leon

The Dodgers salted the game away against Daniel Ponce de Leon in the eighth.  Just a two-run game at that point, LA chased Daniel with a home run, a double and a single – with that runner eventually coming around to score after Ponce de Leon left the game.  Daniel has now given runs in 3 of his last 4 games, giving 6 total (5 earned) on 7 hits over his last 4.2 innings.  The last 24 batters to face him have prospered to the tune of a .350/.458/.650 batting line.

Of the 9 batters he faced last night (he had taken over in the seventh), 5 saw ball one on the first pitch to them.  For the season, Daniel has thrown ball one to 43 batters and strike one to 43 others.  The league-wide average shows pitchers getting that first pitch in as a strike about 60% of the time.

Of the 20 batters the pen faced last night, 11 saw ball one on the first pitch to them.


Seth Elledge came in to get the final out – which he did, but not until he had given the double that drove in the final run.  Seth has now let all 7 runners that he’s inherited cross the plate.

Seth got ahead of both batter to face him 0-1 before allowing the double and getting the final groundout.  For the season, batters are 7 for 14 against Elledge when he throws a first-pitch strike.


St Louis had a string of five straight games in which they scored the first run of the game snapped last night.

The sixth-inning comeback means that the Cards have now led at some point in 6 straight games.

The game-time temperature of 70 degrees was the coolest temperature the Cards have played in since May 18 when they also played in 70 degree temperature at home against Pittsburgh.  The last road game they played that was cooler came two days before that when they played in 64 degrees in San Diego.

My Designated Hitter Rant

Every year now, baseball purists in the National League are continuously threatened with the permanent infliction of the designated hitter.  Last year, I responded with an extensive rant against the DH.  While trying to update that document, I managed to delete it.  So, I have re-written it here.  The hope is to set forth a reasonable argument for keeping the DH far, far away from National League parks.  I encourage you to read it and pass it along to other like-minded fans of this great old game.

Behind on the Fastball

The evening’s last pitch was a four-seam fastball – the 62nd such fastball out of 132 pitches thrown to Cardinal batters.  The 97.9 mph pitch delivered by White Sox reliever Michael Kopech was rolled softly to second by St Louis’ Edmundo Sosa, ending Chicago’s 5-1 victory (box score), and wrapping up another frustrating evening for the Cardinal offense.  In losing for the seventh time in the last 11 contests, St Louis has now scored 33 runs (3.00 per game) in those games.  For the month of May, their average runs per game has fallen to 3.95.

St Louis has long been a team that has struggled against soft pitches.  Over these last 11 games, they are slashing (as a team) .106/.196/.191 against the changeup, and .194/.219/.323 against the curve.  What is becoming increasingly distressing as the season goes on are their collective struggles against the four-seam fastball.  Last night they were just 3-for-14 (.214) against the four-seamers offered them by Kopech and starter (and former Cardinal) Lance Lynn.  Of the 10 fastballs they put in play, 6 of them came off the bat at 96.5 mph or hotter.  But only one of those found its way into the outfield for a hit.

Over the last 11 games, St Louis is slashing .204/.296/.306 off the fastball, in spite of the fact that 48% are coming off the bat at 95 mph or more.  For the month of May, the team’s hard-hit percentage on that four-seamer is a very healthy 45.0%.  But the slash line is a humble .196/.288/.306.

For the season, St Louis hitters have put that fastball into play 330 times – with 143 of those leaving the bat at 95 mph or better.  But their season-long line against the pitch that they thought they would make their living on is a sobering .201/.290/.328.

Initially, this sounds like a great deal of bad luck – something bound to correct itself as the season wears on.  The numbers underneath suggest a different story.

Forty-seven games into the 2021 season, St Louis has “hard hit” 83 fastballs for outs.  Of that number: 14 (16.9%) have been struck with a negative launch angle (meaning they were just pounded straight into the turf); 26 of them (31.3%) have had insufficient launch angle to escape the infield; 17 others (20.5%) had launch angles over 40 degrees – turning them into lazy flyballs and popouts; and of the other 40, 27 were hit into the deepest part of the field.  Those 27 outs averaged 355.7 feet, the longest of which was a 391 foot drive (with an exit velocity of 103.5 mph) to dead center field struck by Paul Goldschmidt off of Kyle Hendricks in the fourth inning last Friday.

Groundouts, pop flies and fly balls to dead center are all indicative of being overmatched – to one degree or other – by the fastball.  For 47 games, this is a team that has been overmatched on most nights by the four-seam fastball.  If that continues, this will be a long, dry summer in River City.


Paul Goldschmidt contributed the team’s first hit and only run batted in as part of a two-hit night.  Paul hasn’t been as torridly hot as we’ve seen him, but he has been very steady.  He has now hit safely in 12 of his last 14 games, hitting .304 (17 for 56) in those games.  Goldy is now up to .308 (24 for 78) for the month.

Part of the turnaround has been an uptick in Goldschmidt’s production against the fastball.  Both of Paul’s hits last night came off the four-seamer, and Goldy is now hitting .333 (6 for 18) against the four-seam fastball over the last 11 games.


After Harrison Bader left the game with an injury, Justin Williams was awarded yet another chance to establish himself.  He was 0-for-3 last night, and over his last 26 games Williams (whose season average is down to .168) is just 7 for 56 (.125).  He has only one extra-base hit (a home run) and is slugging .179 in those at bats.  He is not in the lineup tonight.


Kwang Hyun Kim struck out 3 White Sox on his slider, but 2 of the 4 that managed to put it in play ended up with hits, even though none of them were hit particularly hard.  Kim has run into a little bad luck with that slider this month.  Of the 17 batters that have put his slider in play, only five of them have been “hard hit.”  Kim has, nonetheless, allowed 7 hits on those 17 balls in play.

Ponce de Leon

Pitching for the third time in four days, Daniel Ponce de Leon struggled with his fastball command.  He struck out one on a fastball, walked two, and allowed a double on a two-strike fastball right down the middle.  For the season, hitters are 12-for-40 against Ponce de Leon’s fastball, with 5 doubles, 2 home runs, 9 walks and 3 hit batsmen – a .300/.453/.575 batting line.


Coming off a couple of rough outings, Kodi Whitley retired the last two batters in the seventh, getting Yasmani Grandal to bounce out on a changeup.  We haven’t seen all that much of Kodi, but the small sample size of his changeup has been pretty promising.  Batters are only 2-for-12 (.167) against it, with a hard-hit percentage of just 8.3%.


Edmundo Sosa was hit by a pitch again last night.  Although he only has 42 plate appearances on the season, he is tied for first in the league in this category.

When Chicago’s Andrew Vaughn drove Kim’s changeup out of the park, it marked only the third time all season that a Cardinal pitcher has had his changeup driven for a home run.  Cincinnati’s Tyler Naquin hit one off of Tyler Webb’s change on April 4, and the Met’s Jonathan Villar had similar success against a change from Johan Oviedo on May 6.

My Designated Hitter Rant

Every year now, baseball purists in the National League are continuously threatened with the permanent infliction of the designated hitter.  Last year, I responded with an extensive rant against the DH.  While trying to update that document, I managed to delete it.  So, I have re-written it here.  The hope is to set forth a reasonable argument for keeping the DH far, far away from National League parks.  I encourage you to read it and pass it along to other like-minded fans of this great old game.

They Can’t Pitch Every Day

The game was still quite close.  As the Friday game against the Cubs moved into the eighth inning, it was just a 4-3 lead for the Northsiders.  And there on the mound was Kodi Whitley.

This probably wasn’t the arm Cardinal fans were anticipating.  A one-run game against their ancient rivals, eighth-inning.  Probably the faithful were expecting Giovanny Gallegos – or perhaps Genesis Cabrera.  These are the elite late-inning arms the Cards have ridden for most of the year.

Whitley, however, was not a poor choice.  Gradually, Kodi had been earning more and more trust for late-inning, high-leverage situations.  On May 11, Kodi had entered in the seventh inning against Milwaukee in a game the Cards trailed 1-0 at the time.  Whitley allowed an infield single, but no further damage.  The Cards went on to win that one in 11, 6-1.

Three days later, St Louis was in San Diego, trailing the Padres 5-3 in the eighth inning.  Manager Mike Shildt entrusted that inning to Whitley as well.  Kodi invited a bit of trouble by walking the first two batters of the inning, but recovered to keep it a two-run game.  St Louis’ late rally fell short, but Kodi had done his job.

Now he was getting a shot at the Cubs.

He faced three batters and didn’t retire any of them.  In fairness, he didn’t get a lot of luck.  Ian Happ flared a single into left, and after a damaging walk to David Bote, Nico Hoerner hit a chopper to third that should have resulted in at least one out.  But Nolan Arenado couldn’t field the bounce cleanly, and the bases were loaded.

With Eric Sogard (a left-hander) coming off the bench for the Cubs, Shildt wanted a lefty.  But not Cabrera.  He chose this moment to tab a struggling Tyler Webb to face Sogard and then the top of the order.  Three batters later, the bases were still loaded, there was now one out, but Chicago had pushed its lead to 6-3.  Into the game, now, came Seth Elledge.

I couldn’t help but feel sorry for Seth.  Most Cardinal fans probably assumed he was no longer on the team.  He had pitched just once over the last two weeks.  And here he was in a critical situation, trying to keep the game in striking distance.  In quick succession, he allowed a walk, a double, a single, another double, and another single.  And now it was a 12-3 game.

Elledge, by the way, got credit for two-thirds of an inning pitched even though he didn’t directly retire any of the five batters he faced.  Luckily (or perhaps mercifully) the Cubs ran into two outs on the bases.

After the game – when asked why Cabrera and/or Gallegos weren’t on the mound in that spot – Mike noted accurately enough that he can’t pitch “those guys” every night (those guys included closer Alex Reyes).  And with that, he put his finger on one of the great current concerns of this team – bullpen depth.

In the wake of the Cub series – and in spite of the fact that Reyes served up the game-winning homer on Sunday – the big three of Cabrera, Gallegos and Reyes had already combined for 75.2 innings with an aggregate 1.55 ERA.  Everyone else who has only appeared as a reliever for the Cards (phrased this way to eliminate the one inning from Matt Carpenter and the relief efforts of sometimes starters Daniel Ponce de Leon and Johan Oviedo) has pitched 73 innings with an aggregate 7.27 ERA.

Pitching at their present rates, Cabrera would finish the season with 82 innings pitched, Reyes would throw 88 and Gallegos would be on the mound for 96.  Of the 1423 the Cards are on pace to pitch, these three relievers are on pace to throw 18.7% of them.  It’s too much.  Someone else has to effectively handle some of this load.  This team has to find someone they can trust with this situation.

This must be a frustrating development for the front office.  Leaving spring training, they counted bullpen depth as one of their strengths.  But the normally reliable pen has been rocked a bit by injuries to Jordan Hicks and Andrew Miller and the surprising struggles of Tyler Webb.  And all of a sudden, you have a bullpen in crisis.

But before they start scouring the trade market – which I’m not necessarily saying is a bad idea – let’s look at a couple of the internal candidates.  There are a few arms in the tent that shouldn’t be given up on just yet.


Ryan Helsley has hit a hiccup in his season.  Ryan was the actual losing pitcher of the Friday game (box score).  He came into a 2-2 game in the seventh and promptly served up the two runs that put the Cards in the hole.

Helsley has now allowed runs in three of his last four games.  The last 19 batters to face him are slashing .357/.500/.786 – a distressing run.  But over the 14 outings prior to this, Ryan held an 0.66 ERA and a .116 batting average against.  None of the 50 batters he faced in that stretch managed an extra base hit off of him.

While he’s had some recent struggles, my belief is that he is still more the pitcher that he was during the previous 14 games than he is the pitcher we’ve seen the last four.  With legitimate 100 mph stuff, he certainly has the tools.


As mentioned, Kodi has earned his way into higher leveraged situations, and – also as mentioned – the catastrophe of Friday night that started on his watch wasn’t entirely his fault.  Whitley has the minor league pedigree to suggest that he should have success in the majors.  In the last minor league season that there was (2019) Kodi managed a 1.52 ERA in AAA (part of a 1.60 ERA over three levels and 67.1 minor league innings that year), and then pitched to a 1.64 ERA in the Arizona Fall League.

Ponce de Leon

It’s a small sample size, but Daniel Ponce de Leon – who began the season as a starter – has done much better in relief (2.70 ERA and a .130 batting average against).  This pattern has held true through the early part of his career.  In 22 starts, Daniel is 2-8 with a 4.66 ERA.  In 18 relief appearances he has 1 save and a 2.60 ERA (with a .172 batting average against).

Ponce de Leon pitched twice in the Cub series, throwing a total of 2.2 scoreless innings.  He was hugely responsible for the only win the Cards managed in the series on Saturday (box score) as his 1.2 innings bridged the gap between Miles Mikolas’ early exit and the seventh inning when Shildt turned to Cabrera.

Daniel may well be a successful starter someday, but for now he is one of the more promising options in a surprisingly needy bullpen.


Obviously looking here more at potential than production, Junior Fernandez is another flame-thrower who hasn’t quite figured things out yet.  Sometimes it is this very situation – a bullpen in need of arms – that provides the opportunity that a sleeping giant like Fernandez needs.

The point here is that there are internal options, as well as the likelihood that Webb will re-discover his command at some point.  For the month of May, the starter’s fine 3.10 ERA has been frequently betrayed by a bullpen with a ragged 4.39 ERA.  This is frustrating, but not incurable.

Whether from within or through an acquisition, the Cardinal bullpen will rise again.


I make it a point now – every time Adam Wainwright starts a game – to thoroughly drink in every moment, realizing that there won’t be all that many more of them.  Although it ended disappointingly (box score) Sunday’s first eight innings were a pure joy, as Waino shut the Cubs out on one hit.

Typically, though, Adam’s teammates neglected to score any runs for their long-time ace.  In the nine games he’s started this year – and while he’s been the pitcher of record – here is the game-by-game run support he’s received: 1,0,0,2,1,6,2,1 and 0 on Sunday.  It works out to 2.14 support runs per every nine innings pitched.  It’s notably difficult to win a lot of games without runs to work with.


It’s difficult not to be enamored with Edmundo Sosa.  He was about the only bat that showed up against Chicago.  Even granting that most of his hits were less that rocket shots, Sosa was still an impressive 7 for 11 (.636) with a double and a triple (.909 slugging percentage) against the Cubs.  Sosa carries a five-game hitting streak into Chicago tonight – a streak in which four of the five games are multi-hit games.  Edmundo is hitting .588 (10-for-17) and slugging .824 (2 doubles to go with that triple) during the streak.

Sosa, of course, has spent the year buried on Mike Shildt’s bench.  On the roster for every game this year, Edmundo was awarded just two starts and 17 plate appearances until Paul DeJong landed on the injured list.  This is the first real look we’ve gotten of him, and there’s a lot to like.

You’d like to think that Edmundo would continue to play after DeJong heals, but my advice is to not hold your breath.  Shildt and the organization fully believe in DeJong, and – good or bad – he will be in there pretty much every day that he is healthy.


The Cardinal chances weren’t helped by the loss of Dylan Carlson (back issue) for the last two games of the series.  Dylan was 2-for-4 in the first game, and now has multiple hits in three of his last four games.  Dylan – who is back in the lineup tonight – has multiple hits in three of his last four games – hitting .438 (7 for 16) over that span.  He is up to .306 for the month, with a .408 on base percentage.


Nolan Arenado entered the Cub series scorching hot (riding a six-game hitting streak).  He left it ice cold, going just 1-for-11 (.091) in his first taste of this great rivalry.  Under the steady diet of changeups that baffled the entire lineup, Nolan’s discipline began to erode and his strike zone steadily began to expand.


Late in the Sunday game, Harrison Bader snuck a ground-ball double down the third-base line.  It was the only thing that stood between him and a hitless series – Harrison finished 1-for-12 (.083).  It was also his only hit over the last 5 games, leaving him 1 for his last 19 (.053).  Off to a hot start when he returned from the injured list, Bader is now down to .221 for the month.


The Cubs were the fifth of the previous six teams to play St Louis after having won their previous series.

The 6 runs St Louis managed in the series were their fewest in any series so far this year.  They won two of three their last visit to Milwaukee in spite of scoring just 9 runs during the series.

Lasting just 2:47, the Saturday game was St Louis’ quickest game since a 5-0 victory over Colorado on May 7 took only 2:42 to complete.

The weekend series was also the hottest of the season so far.  Two of the games began in temperatures over 80 degrees – including 88 for the Sunday game, the hottest of the year so far.  The series averaged a season-high 81.3 degrees.  The previous hottest series was the Pittsburgh series that just preceded the Cub series.  Those games averaged 73.5 degrees.  The previous hottest game was the 82 degrees that they played in while beating the Mets 6-5 on May 3.

The three games played in San Diego earlier this month all drew 15,250.  Until this weekend, those were the largest crowds that the Cards had played in front of this season.  With the relaxing of the COVID regulations last weekend, St Louis saw its first crowds of over 20,000 since the 2019 playoffs.  The Saturday game drew the most (26,027) and the entire series averaged crowds of 24,797.

My Designated Hitter Rant

Every year now, baseball purists in the National League are continuously threatened with the permanent infliction of the designated hitter.  Last year, I responded with an extensive rant against the DH.  While trying to update that document, I managed to delete it.  So, I have re-written it here.  The hope is to set forth a reasonable argument for keeping the DH far, far away from National League parks.  I encourage you to read it and pass it along to other like-minded fans of this great old game.

Waiting for that One Big Hit

When the breakthrough finally came, it came with more of a whimper than a bang.  By the time that Tyler O’Neill made it to the plate with the bases loaded in the fifth inning of yesterday’s second game, the Cards were riding a 2-for-12 streak with runners in scoring position during that long day of baseball in Milwaukee.  Inning after inning had presented its opportunities, to be met with untimely strikeouts and ineffectual pop-outs.  Along the way, St Louis had dropped the first game 2-1 (boxscore) in “extra-innings.”  Now, O’Neill was up with the bases loaded and two out in the fifth – Cards down 2-0 and down to what would have been their last 7 outs.

Salvation – when it came – came in the form of a dribbling ground ball to shortstop that Tyler beat out for an infield hit.  A run scored.  St Louis still trailed, but now only 2-1.

Later, in the seventh, Brad Miller would tie the game with a bouncing, shift-beating single just to the shortstop side of second base.  When Paul DeJong came to the plate in the ninth inning with a runner at third and two out, the Cards were riding another 0-for-8 stretch with runners in scoring position.  In the Cards’ twentieth at bat just of the nightcap with runners in scoring position, DeJong jumped on a 2-0 fastball up in the zone, lining the single to left that would give the Cards a 3-2 win (boxscore) and a much needed split.

For the entire 17 innings yesterday, St Louis finished 6 for 25 (.240) with runners in scoring position (RISP).

But the real story yesterday came from the other side.  As frustrating as most of the afternoon must have been for the Cardinals, it was even worse for the Brewers.  After having 11 RISP opportunities in the first game, they found themselves with 12 more in the second game.  From all those opportunities, Milwaukee drew 6 walks (1 intentional), had a batter hit by a pitch, and even looped the sacrifice fly that won the first game.

But, in 15 official such at bats, they managed one lonely hit – in the eighth inning of the first game, Ryan Braun golfed a low fastball from Ryan Helsley off the center field wall to put the winning run at third.  Other than that, the Cardinal pitchers were impenetrable.

This has been the general pattern all year, but especially the last month.  For the season, opposing hitters are struggling along at .204 in RISP opportunities against St Louis.  Over the last two series, the Reds went 3 for 18 before the Brewers experienced their struggles yesterday.

The flame-throwing youngsters of the Cardinals invite all kinds of trouble.  Over the last two series, they have walked 10 and hit 2 more of the 46 batters who have faced them with ducks on the pond.  But they rarely give that hit – and that has made all the difference.

Starters Leading a Resurgence

After scuffling early in the homestand against Minnesota and Detroit, the starters have re-emerged against the Reds, and now in the beginning of the road-trip against Milwaukee.  Over the last 5 games, Cardinal starters have accounted for 4 quality starts, and have thrown 29 innings – posting a 2.79 ERA in those games with a .208 batting average against.  In yesterday’s doubleheader, starters Kwang Hyun Kim and Daniel Ponce de Leon combined to throw 13 of the 16.2 innings with a 1.38 ERA and a .152 batting average against.


On August 17, in his first game coming out of quarantine, KK made his first National League start in Chicago against the Cubs.  Leading off the fourth inning, Ian Happ jumped on a high 2-1 pitch and lofted it the other way for a home run.

That was the last earned run that Kim has allowed.  As he lasted two more batters that inning before hitting his pitch count, Kwang Hyun’s streak of not allowing an earned run (after he delivered 7 scoreless against the Brewers) has now reached 24.2 innings.  Kim has delivered 3 quality starts in his last 4 outings, while holding hitters to a .145 average.

The Brewers were 0-for-5 against him with runners in scoring position.  For the season, opposing hitters are 2-for-21 (.095) against Kwang Hyun in RISP situations.

Ponce de Leon

With two out in the third inning of the second game, and runners on first and second, Daniel Ponce de Leon – in a terrific bounce-back effort – blew an 0-2 fastball right past Milwaukee’s Keston Hiura to end the inning and the threat.  Almost stunningly, during his six-plus innings, Hiura was the only Brewer to face Daniel with runners in scoring position.  The huge difference here was that Ponce de Leon – who has been beset with walks the whole season – walked only one batter.

With Hiura’s strikeout, and in spite of all his other struggles, batters are now just 1 for 10 with 5 strikeouts against Ponce de Leon with runners in scoring position this year.  Over his first two partial seasons, batters had hit .310 (18 for 58) against him in those situations.


Paul DeJong’s 4-for-7 performance in the doubleheader included going 2-for-4 with runners in scoring position.  This has been a point of emphasis for DeJong this year.  Through his first three seasons, Paul was only a .241 hitter (82-for-340) in these situations.  He is now hitting .385 (5 for 13) in RISP at bats this month, and is up to .391 (9 for 23) on the season – the best RISP batting average of any Cardinal regular.


One of the outfielders the Cards are hoping will come through is Lane Thomas – who at the moment isn’t making the most of his opportunity.  He was 0-for-5 yesterday, and now – after hitting his only home run of the season in St Louis’ only win in the recent Cincinnati series – is hitless in his last 10 at bats, including 4 strikeouts.  In his 12 games this month, Thomas is hitting .125 (4 for 32).

His struggles included going 0-for-2 with runners in scoring position.  He is now 1-for-12 this season in those opportunities.  Last year, he was 5-for-10.


The games in the dome in Milwaukee checked in with temperatures of 66 and 63 degrees – the Cardinals’ coolest games of the season, so far.  A couple of games in Chicago were played in 72 degrees – the previous low.

The first-game loss means St Louis has lost the first game in 6 of their last 8 series.

My Designated Hitter Rant

As the DH seems to be a real threat in the near future – and many expect it to be universal and permanent by 2022 if not sooner – I am going to include the link to my DH rant at the bottom of all my baseball posts this year (and next, probably).  If you have already read it, you should know that I added a section on July 30 after the Cards first five games with the DH.  Here is the link.  If this idiocy is to become law, I want to do everything I can to make sure as many people as possible understand why this is wrong.

Light at the End of the Tunnel

It was 25 days ago that the Cardinals came out of isolation to resume their abbreviated season.  With 23 (or so) games left in the season – and after playing 30 games over the previous 25 days – the COVID hangover still lingers over this team.  In the last two games St Louis played before the outburst, they started Carlos Martinez and Daniel Ponce de Leon against the Twins.  Both lost their games.

On July 28, Martinez served 2 home runs, giving 6 runs on 7 hits through 3.2 innings of a 6-3 Minnesota win.  The next day, Ponce de Leon took the ball.  He also managed just 3.2 innings, although with less damage (1 home run, 3 runs on 2 hits).  That game ended a 3-0 victory for the Twins.

Fast-forward about a month and a half to yesterday.  Minnesota paid a visit to St Louis to conclude their season series with a double-header.  Again, the Cardinal pitchers would be Martinez and Ponce de Leon.  Again the results would be similar.  Martinez’ day would end after 3.2 innings, 4 runs, 7 hits and another home run.  Ponce de Leon would only make it through 3 innings (2 runs, 5 hits, another home run).  Carlos lost again, 7-3 (boxscore).  St Louis managed a fortuitous comeback to take Daniel off the hook with a 6-4 second game victory (boxscore).  Both pitchers rode different paths to their Twin-City rematches.

Ponce de Leon

Given his long sought after chance at the rotation, Daniel Ponce de Leon has had only struggles to show for his efforts.  His 3 walks in his 3.2 inning first stint against Minnesota initiated a season-long (so far) struggle with command for young Daniel.  Between his appearances against the Twins, he made three other starts, totaling just 8.2 busy innings.  The damage done included 8 runs on 8 hits – 3 of them home runs, 11 walks, and a hit batsman.  His first turn at the rotation ended unceremoniously on August 28 when he lasted less than an inning of a 14-2 loss to Cleveland.

He was on his way to Springfield the next day.  So yesterday’s appearance is a kind of re-emergence for Daniel.  Although he certainly would have hoped for better, it seems – with many, many doubleheaders still to play – that Ponce de Leon will get more opportunities.


For Martinez, the interlude between his starts against Minnesota was more in keeping with the 2020 COVID meme.  Carlos was one of the very first to come down with the virus and seems to have suffered most from it.  It took him about three weeks before he felt healthy again.

After building up arm strength as rapidly as possible, Carlos returned to the mound yesterday for the first time since the first time he faced Minnesota.  The Twins are, of course, one of baseball’s more dangerous hitting teams – and not to take any credit away from them – but his first time back, Carlos wasn’t Carlos.  There were flashes of running mid-90s fastballs and sharp sliders.  But Martinez was over the plate way too frequently.

In a related note, Ryan Helsley pitched the seventh – serving up a two-run homer to wrap up the scoring.  Helsley is another COVID returnee who still hasn’t solidified his grip on the slider.

Here it is, nearly a month and a half after the season was interrupted, and the Cardinals are still trying to get all of their pieces a) back on the field, and b) capable of competing against teams whose seasons haven’t been disrupted.

These two short starts left more doubleheader innings for the bullpen (7.1) than the starters covered (6.2).  A solid week after the team thought the rotation was back on its feet, the starters have stumbled through the early part of the month.  Five of the 9 games so far this month have seen St Louis get fewer than 5 innings from its starter – and in four of those the starter didn’t make it through 4.  In 9 September games, St Louis has needed nearly as many innings from its bullpen (32.2) as its received from its rotation (37.2)  Carrying a 4.78 ERA through the early part of the month, the rotation has also recently left significant deficits for the still scuffling offense to make up.

The virus thing has been a stumbling block that keeps on stumbling.  Still, showing perhaps more grit and more resilience than some may have believed they possessed, this Cardinal team keeps picking itself back up and battling on.  Their record (18-17) isn’t gaudy.  But it’s kept them competitive.  And now – with the Twins in the rear-view mirror – one can almost see a light at the end of the tunnel.

No More Winning Teams?

For good or for ill, the rest of the Cardinal schedule has no more teams on it that currently have a winning record.  Detroit came into the day just two games shy of .500 (19-21) but as I write this they are being pummeled by Milwaukee 15-0, so it will take a bit longer – at best – for them to reach that mark.  Speaking of the Brewers, the rest of our season will be very involved with Milwaukee – a division rival that we still haven’t played.  We have ten games to play against them – six of which will come in three doubleheaders.

The Brewers (and the Reds, for that matter) were expected to compete for the division crown.  Things haven’t materialized for either team – Milwaukee is 18-22, while Cincy is 18-24.  Even so, the feeling is that both clubs are better than they have shown.  So the second half (basically) of the Cardinal season may not play out as softly as it might seem.  But it looks right now like the most difficult part of the journey is behind us – although the onslaught of games (at least 23 more in the next 18 days with no more days off) will continue.

And That’s a Good Thing

Usually, performance against winning teams is a very revealing barometer.  This year, I’m not sure how much stock to put into it.  St Louis is 9-11 in 20 games against team that have won more than they’ve lost.  They were 4-3 over the last two series against the Cubs and the Twins.  Eighteen of those 20 games came in the first 30-game span after the Cards came out of quarantine – including their first 8 games back on the field, with no preparatory workouts, on the road, against the two division leaders in Chicago, with all of their starters on very limited pitch counts.

The numbers are what they are, but they were forged under as much adversity as imaginable.  Considered under the circumstances, a 9-11 mark may be more encouraging than it might appear.

Hard on the Rotation

One pattern playing through these games is the consistent struggle the rotation has had in containing these lineups.  The Twins combined to hit .375 against Martinez and Ponce de Leon, with a .656 slugging percentage against them.  Over the last two series (7 games), the starters hold a 5.46 ERA while allowing a batting average of .300 and a .517 slugging percentage.  The starters have surrendered 6 home runs in their last 28 innings.

In the 20 games against winning teams, the rotation has covered only 76.2 innings (leaving 80.1 for the pen).  They have served up 16 home runs in those innings (1.88 per 9 innings), leading to a 4.93 ERA against the higher caliber clubs.  Still, these games were the starters at their worst.  If this team somehow manages to stagger home with a playoff spot, it will be interesting to see if this number can improve in October.

Frankly, the Pitching Will Have to be Better

Offense has been a struggle in general for this team, and these struggles have been magnified against the better pitching staffs.  In 13 innings yesterday, St Louis managed just 9 hits (a .184 average) with only one extra-base hit.  Over the last two series, they’ve hit just .211.  Over the whole 20 games, the team batting average of .218 is almost 30 points lower than their season-long .246 average.  Truthfully, if the Birds hadn’t been handed 5 gift runs in the second game, they almost certainly would have lost that game as well.

The shadow of an unreliable offense still hangs over this team.


Paul Goldschmidt continues as the team’s most consistent offensive force.  Goldy went 3 for 7 during the doubleheader.  With hits in both games, Paul has now tied his season-long hitting streak at 5 games.  He is 7 for 18 (.389) over these last 5 games.

Paul is also one of the few Cardinals who hasn’t disappeared when facing winning teams.  He is 7 for 23 (.304) over the last two series, and in all 20 of the games against winning teams, Goldy has come through at a .308 clip (20 for 65).

B Miller

Brad Miller is one who has struggled to contribute over the last two series.  He was 1 for 6 in the double-header and is 2 for his last 19 (.105), both singles.  His last extra-base hit came in the 16-2 rout of Cincinnati on September 1.

Still Waiting for Tyler

Tyler O’Neill beat out a dribbler up the third base line in the first game yesterday.  He played both games, and that was his only hit (he finished 1 for 6).  Over his last 4 games, he is 2 for 14 (.143), both singles with no walks.  After a good start to the month, O’Neill is hitting .231 (6 for 26) in September, with a .259 on base percentage.  While Dexter Fowler is absent, Tyler will get every opportunity to show he can be a major-league regular.  It can’t happen fast enough for both Tyler and the Cards.


Paul DeJong also played both games of the doubleheader.  He walked twice, but went 0-for-5 with 2 strikeouts and a walk.  Paul has faded a bit in September, his average dropping to .241 (7 for 29) this month.

Over the last two series, Paul is just 5 for 21 (.238), but with 4 walks his on base percentage for the last 7 games is .360.


As the Cards returned home, they found the heat waiting for them.  The first game of the doubleheader checked in at 88 degrees.  Four of the previous five games had been played in sub-80 degree weather.  This was the Cards highest game-time temperature since the first game here against Kansas City on August 24.  The temperature at game time for that one was a smoky 95 degrees.

The first-game loss marks the fourth time in the last five series that the Cards have lost the opening game.

When Paul Goldschmidt moved to DH for the second game, it snapped his streak of 13 consecutive starts at first base – at the time tied for the longest Cardinal streak.  The longest such streak now belongs to Paul DeJong alone, who has now made 14 consecutive starts at shortstop.

My Designated Hitter Rant

As the DH seems to be a real threat in the near future – and many expect it to be universal and permanent by 2022 if not sooner – I am going to include the link to my DH rant at the bottom of all my baseball posts this year (and next, probably).  If you have already read it, you should know that I added a section on July 30 after the Cards first five games with the DH.  Here is the link.  If this idiocy is to become law, I want to do everything I can to make sure as many people as possible understand why this is wrong.

Still Comes Back to Pitching

The way that the Cardinal’s hot streak came to a thudding halt against Houston at home this weekend should serve as a reminder of some fundamental principles.  The first of these principles affirms that it is the depth of the lineup – not necessarily whatever impact bats might be in the middle of it – that determines your offensive performance.

Toward the end of the Cardinal hot streak (and most recently here), the mlb.com game accounts have connected the St Louis surge to Paul Goldschmidt’s recent heroics.

It is no surprise that sports’ journalists should – like the fans – gravitate towards the achievements of the game’s superstars.  Sunday’s loss brought to an end a six-game home run streak from Goldschmidt (although not his hitting streak – more on that below).  This is a significant achievement.  There are precious few mortals anywhere on this planet who are capable of doing things like this.

But the structure of baseball minimizes the impact of any one player – even the superstars.  Unlike football (where you can give the ball to your star running back as often as you like) or basketball (where you can funnel the ball to your top scorer every time down the court), in baseball, Goldschmidt has to wait until everyone else has had their at bat before he can hit again.  Thus, the more production you get from the rest of the lineup, the more runs you will score over the course of the game (or season).

This was somewhat dramatically born out in the Cardinal losses in this last series.  Paul homered in the Saturday game, and added a single on Sunday, but St Louis scored just two runs in each game because too few of the rest of the Cardinal hitters were able to contribute.

It feels a little obvious pointing this out, but there are times that I’m not sure that management understands that this is how offense works in baseball.

The other fundamental principle is that everything begins with pitching.  Paul may well have hit two home runs in each of the last two games, and the birds would probably have lost them both anyway as the starting pitchers in those two contests never really gave the team a chance.

In the Friday game (a 5-3 win), starter Jack Flaherty crafted a quality start against this very accomplished Houston lineup – he allowed just 2 runs on 3 hits over 6 innings (he struck out 9).

In the other two games – Saturday’s 8-2 loss and Sunday’s 6-2 defeat – the two starters (Daniel Ponce de Leon and Dakota Hudson) made early exits, leaving with significant deficits.

Combined, Ponce de Leon and Hudson totaled 6.1 innings at the cost of 10 runs on 11 hits (that included a double and 3 home runs), 6 walks and 1 hit batter.  They combined for a 14.21 ERA and a .407/.529/.778 batting line.

Most of the time, this kind of damage will get you into trouble.  On Saturday and Sunday, it was more trouble than the offense could overcome.


While the Astro series represented a step backward for the rotation overall, Flaherty’s performance continued his strong rebound.  After enduring some notable growing pains through much of the first half, Jack began turning things around with his last start before the All-Star break (a 1-0 loss).

Over his last four starts, now, Jack has 3 quality starts.  In his 24.1 innings, he has given just 4 runs on 14 hits while striking out 30.  He has a 1.48 ERA and a .165 batting average against, but still no wins as his offense has supported him with just 4 total runs over that span.

His ERA for the month of July is now down to 2.48 with a .198 batting average against.

The only runs off Jack came on a two-run home run off the bat of Michael Brantley.  The runner (Alex Bregman) was on first with one out – a potential double play opportunity.  This now makes 35 straight double play opportunities that Jack hasn’t gotten the double play on a ground ball.  A fly ball pitcher, Jack has actually gotten 5 ground balls in those situations, but 3 of those grounders found their way through the infield for singles, and the other two resulted in force-outs only.

Flaherty did actually get one double play in all of those opportunities.  Against the Pirates on July 16, Jack struck out Elias Diaz while Kevin Newman was running.  Matt Wieters gunned Newman down to complete the DP.

With their 50 swings at Jack’s offerings, Houston was only able to put the ball in play with 12 of them (24%).  Flaherty has been the most difficult of all Cardinal starters to put the ball in play against.  For the season, only 32.5% of the swings against him end up in play.

Flaherty had – overall – great success against Houston.  That success came at a price, though, as it took him 108 pitches to fight through his six innings (the ‘Stros fouled off 28 pitches against him).  He averaged 4.91 pitches per batter faced.

As is common for strikeout pitchers, Jack throws a lot of pitches per batter.  For the season, his 4.19 pitches per batter faced is the highest among all starters who have been in the rotation all year.

Ponce de Leon

Daniel pitched his way into the rotation with four very impressive spot starts.  He has now relinquished that spot as he hasn’t pitched well since being named the fifth starter.  In his last three starts he has totaled 9 innings pitched, giving 10 runs on 14 hits and 10 walks.  Opponents have a .368 batting average and a .500 on base percentage against him in those outings.

After a strong start, Daniel now has a 4.87 ERA for the month with 11 walks in 20.1 innings.


At one point earlier this season, Dakota Hudson had thrown 8 consecutive quality starts – a feat unapproached by anyone in the rotation this year.

But Dakota has been undergoing some growing pains of his own lately.  His last 6 times out, Hudson has been saddled with a 5.46 ERA, a .301 batting average against, and a .593 slugging percentage against.  He has been touched for 9 home runs in his last 28 innings.

Normally an extreme groundball pitcher, only 43 of the last 89 batters to put the ball in play against him have hit the ball on the ground (48%).

John Brebbia

John Brebbia tossed a scoreless inning on Friday and then threw two more on Sunday.  While he has had some ups and downs this season, overall there have been a lot more ups.

In 10 games (14 innings) since his paternity leave, Brebbia has allowed 4 runs on 9 hits, walking 2 while striking out 19.  His July ERA sits at 2.57, with a .180/.226/.240 batting line against.

Of the two hits John allowed, one was an infield hit.  Through the end of June, John had allowed just one infield hit.  He has been scratched for 4 this month.

Over the two games, John faced 3 double play opportunities, and didn’t get the ground ball for any of them.  For the season, Brebbia has been in that double play situation 32 times and has gotten just 1 double play.  He only got ground balls on two other occasions – one resulting in an infield hit, and the other a dribbler back to the mound that advanced the baserunners.

Of the two batters that John struck out on Sunday, one (Carlos Correa) was caught looking at strike three.  Brebbia is getting more called third strikes than usual lately.  Of his first 48 strikeouts this season, only five looked at strike three.  Seven of his last 17 strikeouts have gone down looking.

No Cardinal pitcher who has faced more than 50 batters has had a higher percentage of his pitches swung at than John.  Over the weekend, Houston offered at 21 of his 39 deliveries (53.8%).  For the season, batters swing at his offerings 51.1% of the time.

John Gant

After a brilliant start to his season, John Gant has been regressing rapidly.  He pitched in 2 of the Houston games, and allowed a run in both.  He has been scored on in 5 of his last 12 games.  In a total of 10 innings, the previously almost untouchable Mr Gant has given 9 runs on 16 hits a 9 walks – his 8.10 ERA in those outings accompanied by a .381 batting average and a .490 on base percentage.

Sunday was one of the few times recently that John was brought into a game the Cards were losing, and the four-run deficit they faced was the farthest behind the Cards have been when John has entered a game this season.

In the eighth inning Sunday, Brantley came to the plate with George Springer at third, Jose Altuve at first and no one out. The score was 5-1 Houston.  Brantley drilled a double off the base of the wall in right-center driving in the runner from third.  This was the eleventh time this season that Gant had that runner at third and less than two out.  That runner has now scored 8 times.

Dexter Fowler

With his pinch home run in Sunday’s ninth inning, Dexter Fowler extended his recent hitting streak to six straight games.  Dex is hitting .304 (7 for 23) during the streak, with 4 of the hits going for extra bases (2 doubles and 2 home runs) – a .652 slugging percentage.

Tyler O’Neill

Tyler O’Neill was also one of the bright spots of the Houston series.  Extracting himself from a small slump, O’Neill was 4 for 10 in the 3 games, with 3 walks.  Tyler is still having a very strong July, hitting .312 this month (24 for 77).


As mentioned above, Paul’s home run streak ended at six games.  Goldschmidt did, though, get a single on Sunday to push his hitting streak to seven games.  He is 10 for 29 during the streak (.345) with 4 singles to go with the 6 home runs – a .966 slugging percentage.

Kolten Wong

Kolten Wong had gotten a hit in 8 consecutive games in which he had had a plate appearance until he went 0 for 3 on Saturday.  He started his next streak with a single and a run scored on Sunday.

In the last 10 games in which he has had a plate appearance, Kolten is hitting .371 (13 for 35).  He is up to .344 (22 for 64) for the month.

Paul DeJong

After his big series against Pittsburgh, Paul DeJong finished the Houston series just 1 for 9.  He is still hitting just .225 (18 for 80) in July.

Harrison Bader

Nothing will drop in for Harrison Bader.  Hitless in 5 at bats during the Houston series, Harrison is now 0 for his last 14 at bats.  He is hitting .146 for the month (6 for 41), and is down , now, to .195 on the year.

Yairo Munoz

Not much went Yairo Munoz’ way against Houston, either.  Hitless in 8 at bats in the series, Yairo is now working on an 0-for-10.

Over his last 6 games, Yairo is 4 for 24 (.167), and is now hitting just .233 (14 for 60) for the month.

Final Notes from the Pirate Series

Yairo Munoz got the start in left field on Wednesday, breaking Tyler O’Neill’s streak of 11 consecutive starts in left.   That had been the longest active streak by any Cardinal at a single position.  That mantle now reverts back to Paul DeJong, who – after the conclusion of the Houston series – has made 14 consecutive starts at shortstop.

While Miles Mikolas – the Thursday starter – has pitched notably better since the All-Star break, he is still well on pace to set new career highs (all set last year) in runs, earned runs, hits allowed and walks.  He gave 3 more runs (all earned) on 5 more hits and a walk in his six innings, and has now served up 58 runs (56 earned) on 127 hits and 20 walks for the season.  His career highs were the 70 runs (63 earned), 186 hits and 29 walks he gave last year.  At his current pace, Miles will give up 92 runs (89 earned), 202 hits and 32 walks this season.

With their 6 runs on Thursday, St Louis finished the series with 30 runs scored – the most runs they have scored in any series this year (of course, this was a four-game series).  The previous high was the 26 runs they scored against the Dodgers from April 8-11 (also a four-game series).

NoteBook – Houston Series

Paul Goldschmidt picked up his seventh GWRBI with his Friday home run.  He is 2 behind Marcell Ozuna for the team lead.

When St Louis out-homered Houston 2-1 on Friday, they brought themselves into home run parity for the season for the first time since the twelfth game of the season  (they were actually ahead of the opposition at that point, 19-18).  The Cards ended Friday with 134 home runs hit and 134 home runs allowed.  As recently as game number 90 (on July 13), they were 16 home runs shy of the opposition (109 hit and 125 allowed).

With his 3 at bats on Thursday, Dexter Fowler surpassed the 289 at bats he totaled in his slump-and-injury plagued 2018 season.  Dexter now has 292 at bats for the 2019 season.

Carlos Martinez has started at least 1 game every year of his seven-year career.  On Friday he pitched in his twenty-fifth game of the year – all out of the pen.  He is 8 games pitched away from the 33 he pitched last year, when he was mostly a starter.  Even after missing the first part of the season with injuries, Carlos is still on pace to pitch in 39 games, which would be his most since he pitched in 57 games when he was mostly a reliever in 2014.

But no starts, yet.

Carlos has already set career highs in games finished (17, after finishing 13 in 2014) and saves (he has 10 this season after recording just 7 previously in his entire career).

One thing about Kolten Wong’s season.  He won’t be able to complain that he did have ample opportunity.  Kolten, who has had annual issues staying healthy (and producing enough to stay in the big leagues) played his 103rd game of the season on Sunday.  He played only 127 all last year.  His 10 at bats in the series brought him to 328 for the season.  He totaled 353 all last year.

The consistent playing time has seemed to pay off some.  Wong already has 85 hits (with his 3 against Houston) and 128 total bases this year, after finishing last year with 88 hits and 137 total bases.

He already has more runs batted in this year (40 after his Friday RBI) than he had all of 2018 (38).

When the Friday game started, St Louis had gone 8 games being at least tied in the game after 6 innings, but they trailed in this one by a 2-1 score at that point of the game.

In Saturday’s loss they broke a streak of ten straight games where they held the lead at some point of the game.

George Springer’s home run in the first inning on Sunday meant that Houston scored first in all three games of the weekend set.  The Cardinals have now surrendered the first run in five of the last six games.

St Louis is now 11-5-1 in series after winning the first game.

Finding a Way to Win the Close Ones

In his remarks after the game, Paul Goldschmidt (whose grand slam had sent home the winning runs) more or less put his finger on the issue.  He said:

“I think we’re going to have to find a way to win these games.  There’s going to be the games you just lose, and there’s going to be the ones you come out there and win.  But we have to find a way to win the close ones.”

These words of wisdom (quoted in the mlb.com game account) came in the aftermath of another one-run game – this one a 6-5, ten-inning conquest of the Pittsburgh Pirates (box score).

The Cardinals have now played 17 games in the month of July, and nearly half of them (7 to be precise) have been decided by one run.  There is a romance to the one-run game.  As the Cardinal’s slugging first baseman pointed out, a season is determined by that percentage of games that could go either way.  The ones that are decided less by talent and more by character.

It’s part of my interest in one-run games.  Games where the difference is truly as thin as one at bat either way.

Almost always, one-run games are characterized by strong pitching efforts.  They are generally 4-3 or 3-2 games.  The Cardinal’s one-run games this month, though, have been decidedly offensive by comparison.

Of the 7 there were 2 that were clearly pitching duels – a 1-0 game and a 3-2 game.  But the other five are a 5-4 game, two 6-5 games, and the 12-11 game of last Friday.  In their 7 July one-run games, the birds have hit 12 home runs and averaged 5 runs a game.  But the Cards are only 4-3 in those games, because the pitching staff has scuffled to a 5.02 ERA in them.

For the season, St Louis has fought through 29 one-run games.  They have won 14 and lost 15.  The Brewers, by comparison, are 15-11 in one-run games, the Braves are 18-11, and Philadelphia is 13-10.

San Francisco is 23-10 in one-run games.

It’s a trait you almost always see in the tough teams.  But something not consistently found in the Cardinals.

Not yet, anyway.

Tommy Edman

Tommy Edman contributed 2 hits and a run scored to the victory.  Tommy has been in the starting lineup for 7 straight games, and is hitting .300 (9 for 30) in those games.

Edman has also been one of the team’s most consistent forces in one-run games since bursting onto the scene.  He has played in all 7 this month (starting 6) and is hitting .407 (11 for 27) in them.  He has played in 10 one-run games since his call up.  He is hitting .438 (14 for 32) with a home run and 4 runs batted in in those games.

Tyler O’Neill

After a torrid start after his recall, Tyler O’Neill – now that he has been made a fixture in the lineup – is starting to fade a bit.  After his 0-for-5 last night, Tyler is just 2 for 18 (.111) – all singles – over his last 4 games.  He has no walks and six strikeouts in those contests.

Yairo Munoz

Yairo Munoz was also one of the Cardinals held hitless last night – he was 0-for-4.  Munoz has been one of the team’s better hitters in one-run games, but not this month.  In the 7 July one-run games, Munoz is now hitting .217 (5 for 23) with no walks.

Daniel Ponce de Leon

Daniel Ponce de Leon started the affair and lasted just 3 innings.  Four walks in those innings hastened his exit.  Still, for the innings that he pitched, Daniel was only touched for one run.  When he starts, I’m surer management would like to see him get deeper into games, but for the month of July so far Ponce de Leon holds a 3.00 ERA over 18 innings.

Daniel has also been one of those players who have stepped up in the one-run games he has been a part of.  Ponce de Leon has only pitched in 5 of the 29 Cardinal one-run game (4 as a starter), but holds a 2.66 ERA and a .211 batting average against in those 20.1 innings.

Tyler Webb

Just recalled from Memphis, Tyler Webb was thrust right into the middle of another one-run game.  He threw two scoreless innings (the seventh and the eighth) to help send the game into extra-innings.

Tyler has pitched in only 4 games this month in and around his trip to Memphis, but two of those have been one-run affairs (he also pitched in the 5-4 loss in Seattle on July 2).  He pitched 1.1 hitless innings in that one as well – although he granted one intentional walk.

Webb has 3.1 hitless innings in the one-run games he’s pitched this month, and for the season has allowed just 1 run in 6.1 innings during parts of 8 one-run games.

John Brebbia

John Brebbia struck out two more batters in his .2 scoreless innings last night.  Since returning from his paternity leave, John has pitched 9 innings, giving 2 runs on 4 hits.  He has struck out 17 of the last 33 batters to face him.

Brebbia has now pitched 10 innings across 9 one-run games this season.  He holds a 1.80 ERA and a .194 batting average against in those games, while striking out 15 batters.

Carlos Martinez

This was a 6-3 Cardinal lead in the tenth inning when Carlos Martinez walked in to preserve the lead.  He did – after 6 batters and 3 hits that included a home run.  He was saved from his first blown save of the season (as a closer) when Jose Martinez cut down the tying run at the plate.

Carlos is now a troubled closer.  He has given up runs in 4 of his last 5 games.  Over his last 5 innings, Martinez has given 6 runs on 10 hits and 4 walks.  His ERA for his 8 July innings has risen to 6.75.

Carlos has all 4 of the saves the team has in one-run games this month – but they haven’t been pretty.  In the 4 innings of those saves, Martinez has allowed 4 runs on 9 hits.  For the season, Carlos has thrown 11 innings in 10 one-run games with a 4.09 ERA and a .311 batting average against to show for it.

Carlos continues to be a concern.


The grand slam proved to be Paul Goldschmidt’s sixth game-winning run batted in of the season.  This ties him with Paul DeJong for second on the team behind Marcell Ozuna’s 9.

Kolten Wong’s intentional walk was his thirty-third walk of the year.  He drew only 31 in 407 plate appearances last year.  In his seventh season, Kolten has never walked more than the 41 walks he drew in 411 plate appearances in 2017.

Baby Steps?

The St Louis Cardinals finished their weekend series against Arizona with 25 offensive innings.  They only managed to put their leadoff batter on base in 5 of those innings.  Getting that first batter on base has been a constant struggle since April.  For the month of July, now, Cardinal leadoff batters hold a .266 on base percentage.  For the season, they sit at just .302.

The results in those 20 other innings against Arizona were fairly predictable.  The Cards scored in only 3 of them, totaling 4 runs.   Certainly one of the factors in the slow offensive start is the fact that all too often the power hitters are up with no one on and two outs.  Nobody – it seems – wants to embrace the table-setter’s role.

The good news is that – at least during the Arizona series – the Cardinals did finally figure out what to do once they did get that runner on.  They scored in 4 of the 5 innings that their first batter reached, totaling 7 runs in those innings.

This had also been a problem.  In the six games preceding the All-Star break, the Cards put their leadoff runner on 16 times, bringing him home just 6 times (38%).  For the season, only 48% of the Cardinal leadoff batters who reach base end up scoring.  When the offense is functioning well, that number will typically be closer to 55%.

It was only three games – and only one of the many offensive issues that this team will try to correct in the second half (and the offense overall hit just .215 and scored 3.67 runs per game in the Arizona series).  In essence, the offensive turnaround so far is more hoped for than evident.

But doing something when the leadoff batter gets on is at least a healthy place to start.  A baby step, if you will.

Matt Wieters

Thrust into the lineup due to the thumb injury to Yadier Molina, Matt Wieters is starting to find a comfort level at the plate.  He caught the first two games of the series, going 3 for 6 with a home run.  Matt has only had 24 plate appearances through the early games of July.  But he has answered those plate appearances with 4 singles, 2 home runs and 4 walks – a .300/.417/.600 batting line.

Kolten Wong

Heating up, finally, is Kolten Wong.  One of the mysteries in the Cardinal lineup, Kolten finished the series with 4 hits, and now has a little five-game hitting streak underway.  He is hitting .500 (8 for 16) during the streak.

Kolten is up to .375 (9 for 24) in early July.

Tyler O’Neill

Flashing a bit of the ability that has made him so successful at AAA, Tyler O’Neill put together a fine series against the Diamondbacks.  Moreover, as he is getting consistent at bats, Tyler is starting to show some encouraging consistency.

He was 3 for 8 against Arizona – with all the hits going for extra bases, and has now hit safely in all of his last 5 starts.  He is 7 for 20 (.350) with a .600 slugging percentage in those games.  For the month of July, Tyler is a .321 hitter (9 for 28) with a .536 slugging percentage and 5 runs batted in in just 7 starts.

Paul Goldschmidt

Paul Goldschmidt was a big bat in the Sunday game with an important two-run home run.  He was held to an 0-for-4 on Friday, breaking a seven-game hitting streak.  During the streak, Paul had hit .346 (9 for 26) with 2 doubles and 2 home runs.  He drove in 6 runs during the 7 games, with a .654 slugging percentage.

Tommy Edman

Tommy Edman ended the first half hot, hitting in his last 5 games.  He finished with 6 hits in 18 at bats during the streak, including a triple and a home run.  He drove in 6 runs over the 5 games with a .333 batting average and a .611 slugging percentage.

He began the second half going 0-for-5 against Arizona.

In the early games of his career, Tommy hasn’t yet shown a great knack for leading off an inning.  He was 0-for-3 as a leadoff batter against Arizona, he is 1-for-9 leading off innings this month.  So far, Tommy has lead off in 22 innings with 5 hits and 1 hit-by-pitch (a .273 on base percentage).

Edman has only walked once in his first 60 plate appearances.

Jose Martinez

Jose Martinez’ bat was another important weapon that was limited during the Arizona series.  Jose went hitless in 6 at bats during the series, and is now 0 for his last 11.

Rotation Rises

The primary reason that St Louis managed victories in two of the three over the weekend was the emergence of the starting rotation.  Building off the Jack Flaherty’s sterling seven-inning performance against San Francisco just before the break, all three Cardinal starters (Daniel Ponce de Leon, Dakota Hudson and Adam Wainwright) followed with quality starts of their own.  The three combined to pitch 19.2 of the 27 innings of the series, allowing a total of 3 runs.  They finished the series with a combined 1.37 ERA and a .149/.240/.239 batting line against.

Daniel Ponce de Leon

Daniel Ponce de Leon turned his latest spot start into the one that has vaulted him into the rotation.  He muffled Arizona for 6.2 innings, limiting them to 1 run on 3 hits with no walks (although he did hit one batter) and 7 strikeouts on Friday.  He lowered his overall ERA to 1.99 for the season, and to 0.79 (with a .114 batting average against) for the month.

He’s been nothing but impressive so far.  He’s forced his way into a starting job.  Now we’ll see if he can stay there.

Dakota Hudson

Dakota Hudson – Saturday’s starter – tossed his ninth quality start in his last 11 games.  Hudson is 6-1 with a 2.84 over his last 11 games.

Adam Wainwright

Outdueling Zach Greinke in the series finale, Adam Wainwright threw seven scoreless innings, and has quality starts in two of his last three outings, recording a 1.93 ERA in those outings.

Carlos Martinez

Inheriting the closer’s rule in the wake of the season-ending injury to Jordan Hicks, Carlos Martinez has been as good as could be hoped.  He saved both wins against Arizona, and has now thrown 6 straight scoreless outings (covering 7.1 innings).  Not only has he allowed no runs of his own, he has also stranded all 5 runners he inherited during those games.  He has 10 strikeouts over those innings, and those that are hitting the ball in play against him are hitting it almost exclusively on the ground (10 of 13).

He hasn’t allowed an extra-base hit since June 9.


Yairo Munoz started at shortstop on Sunday afternoon, breaking Paul DeJong’s streak of 26 consecutive starts at short.  That had been the longest current streak of any Cardinal at the same position.  That mantle now falls to Paul Goldschmidt, who on Sunday made his eighteenth consecutive start at first.

The Saturday game registered an official temperature of 90 degrees – significant evidence that summer is in full force in St Louis.  It was just the third 90+ degree game this season, and the first since May 25 when they beat Atlanta here 6-3.  The hottest game of the year so far was played in Mexico on April 13 when we lost to Cincinnati, 5-2.

That home series against Atlanta had been the hottest by average temperature this season at 86.3 degrees.  The just finished Arizona series averaged 88.7 degrees.  And, no, it was not a dry heat.

When the Cards took their 5-0 lead into the seventh inning on Sunday, it marked the first time they held a five-run lead going into the seventh inning since May 18 when they took a 7-2 lead into the seventh in Texas – on their way to an 8-2 victory (box score).  One of the consequences of the recent offensive struggles is that any late inning lead this team holds is generally precarious.  Laughers have been few and far between lately.