Tag Archives: Wainwright

Molina and Holliday Put On a Clinic For Old Friend

Perhaps is was just being on the field with him again, but ex-teammates Yadier Molina and Matt Holliday combined for seven hits as the Cards and Angels wrapped up their three-game series.

In outlasting Anaheim last night, the Cardinals secured their seventh win in their last ten games – and this one was a kind of a microcosm of the streak so far.  At the end of the ride, the Cards have come out ahead most of the time, but haven’t made any of it look easy.  For a team on something of a roll, they have looked all too mortal.

The offense has been at the center of this little run.  With 12 runs and 18 hits last night, they are hitting .289 and scoring 5.7 runs per game over the last ten.  They have added 16 home runs since the beginning of the Philadelphia series.  They were 5-for13 with runners in scoring position for the night and are hitting .297 (27-for-91) over the course of these games.  They hit .350 (41-for117) with seven home runs and 25 runs scored in the Angel’s series – fashioning a team slugging percentage of .590.

But the pitching staff is surrendering hits with runners in scoring position almost as fast as the offense can collect them.  Los Angeles went 5-for-11 last night, and the last ten opponents have managed a .289 average against the Cardinal staff (21-for-74) with ducks on the pond.

Matt Holliday

Matt Holliday wrapped up a bizarre series as he sandwiched Wednesday’s hitless game between a three-hit game Tuesday and last-night’s four-hit game.  He finished the series 7 for 14 (.500) with five extra-base hits (2 doubles and 3 home runs).

Yadier Molina

Yadier Molina keeps on starting and keeps on hitting.  Three more hits last night brings him to .351 over the last ten games (13-for-37).  His season average now sits at .336. Molina has started all but three games behind the plate.

He did a little showing off for his friend in the other dugout, finishing the series against the Angels with 7 hits in 12 at bats (.583).

Yadi was also 1-for-2 with two strikes on him.  Over the last ten games, Molina is hitting .438 (7-for-16) with two-strikes on him.  Molina was also 2-for-2 with two-outs, and is now 6 for his last 12 batting with two outs.

Matt Carpenter

Matt Carpenter’s resurgence continues.  Two more hits, including another home run, brings him to 12 hits in his last 37 at bats (.324).  Eight of those hits have been for extra-bases (including four home runs in his last ten games), giving him a recent slugging percentage of .757.  He hit three of those home runs in the three games against the Angels.

Carpenter has led off an inning 19 times over the last ten games, and hasn’t drawn a walk in any of them.  He does have 9 hits (3 singles, 4 doubles and 2 home runs) so he carries a .474 on base percentage while leading off those innings.  Matt was 1-for-3 leading off last night.  During those same games, all Cardinal leadoff hitters are carrying a .296/.352/.531 slash line and are coming around to score 58% of the time they reach base.

Aledmys Diaz

Aledmys Diaz isn’t hitting .400 anymore, but he isn’t exactly slump-ridden, either.  A 2-for-5 night last night brings him to .333 (11-for-33) over his last nine games.

Adam Wainwright

Adam Wainwright – after showing marginal improvement in his previous two games – took a step backwards last night.  Among the situations plaguing him are those at bats with runners in scoring position.  The Angels had hits in four of their eight RISP at bats against Adam, and over his last three starts he has surrendered hits to 8 of 18 (.444) such batters.

General Trends

Over the last ten games, St Louis has been held under 4 runs only twice, while scoring at least 5 runs in 7 of the games.  Last year, the Cardinals failed to score four runs in almost half of their games (79 games), while scoring five or more slightly more than a third of the time (53 games).  So far in 2016, the Cards have been denied a fourth run only 10 times (29%) while scoring at least five runs in 21 games (60%).  Last night’s explosion marked the eighth time already this season that St Louis has scored in double figures – a feat they managed only 9 times all year last year.

On the other hand, the Cardinal pitching staff held opposing teams to less than four runs 101 times last year (62% of their games) and surrendered five runs or more just 47 times (29%).  This year, so far, only 15 opponents have been held below 4 runs (43%), while 13 other games have seen 5 or more runs scored against them (37%).  After allowing 10 or more runs in a game only four times in all of 2015, that has already happened three times this year.

Last year, St Louis never lost a game once the fashioned at least a four-run lead, and only lost once when they led by three runs.  Conversely, they only overcame deficits of four runs or more twice last year – and only overcame 3-run deficits four times.  Already in 2016 they have surrendered a 3-run lead (the April 25th game where Arizona scored 9 runs in the sixth to win 12-7) and a four-run lead (the 9-8 loss to Cincinnati on April 16th).  On the other hand, they have already come back once from three runs down (a 10-3 win May second against Philadelphia) and twice from four-runs down (April 8th against Atlanta, 7-4; and May 4th against Philly, 5-4).

Better buckle in tight.  Looks like it’s going to be a bumpy ride.

The slugging Cardinals had yet another 3-homer game last night.  Through 35 games and 1,226 team at bats, St Louis has already amassed 51 home runs.  They needed 67 games and 2,233 at bats last year to hit 51 home runs.  Yadier Molina hit that home run on June 19th (a 2-run, second-inning shot against a Philadelphia right hander named Phillipe Aumont that broke a scoreless tie and sent St Louis on its way to an eventual 12-4 win.  That team was 44-23 and five games ahead in its division.

Last night was also the 14th multiple homer game and the sixth time they’ve hit at least three in a game.  In all of 2015, St Louis managed 36 multiple home run games, hitting as many as three in a game only eight times.

From Wacha to Siegrist: Random Pitching Observations

Michael Wacha

Michael Wacha struck out 175 batters last year.  Only 32 went down looking at strike three.  This year, Wacha already has caught 16 batters looking (out of 38 strikeouts).

Wacha is also getting the double play at an accelerated rate compared to last year.  Of the 144 batters he faced in DP opportunities last year, he only got the DP from 9 of them (6.3%).  This year, he already has 6 ground-ball double-plays in just 27 chances (22.2%).  The team ratio has been pretty consistent – 11.6% last year and 11.7% so far this year.  Jaime Garcia’s 18.3% lead the team last year.

Adam Wainwright

Adam Wainwright has already faced runner-at-third-less-than-two-out situations 18 times in his first 40 innings.  The run has scored 11 times (61.1%).  Michael Wacha has already allowed 5 of 6 to score, and Mike Leake has allowed all five of his.  These three pitchers have allowed that runner in from third 21 of 29 times (72.4%).  The entire rest of the staff has only allowed 14 of 36 to score (38.9%).

Jaime Garcia

Of the 253 swings batters have taken at Jaime Garcia’s pitches this year, they have missed 63 (24.9%).  He currently holds the starting staff’s highest swing-and-miss percentage.  Carlos Martinez is second, getting misses on 20.2% of the swings against him.  Carlos led the staff last year, getting 23.4% misses.  Garcia was at 19.9% in 2015.

Mike Leake

Mike Leake has the fewest strikeouts of any of the starters with 22 in 34.1 innings over 6 starts.  Thirteen of those strike outs have been looking.  His 59.1% is the highest percent on the team, with Wacha ranking second at 42.1%.  Of course, Leake is only carrying an 11.3% swing-and-miss ratio, so his strikeouts would almost have to be looking.  Leake also leads the rotation in percentage of pitches that are strikes (67.1%) and fewest pitches per plate appearance (3.46).

Seung-hwan Oh

Seung-hwan Oh has faced 65 major league batters in his first 32 team games.  Their approach to him has been cautious at the start as only 15 of those batters have swung at the first pitch (a team-low 23.1%).  It hasn’t seemed to help them too much yet.  Of the 136 of his pitches that they have swung at, they have missed 58 – a team-leading 42.6%.  The next highest on the staff is Kevin Siegrist, who is missing bats at a 30.1% rate.

Jonathan Broxton

Jonathan Broxton has faced the most double-play opportunities on the staff without getting a double-play.  He is 0-for-14 thus far on the season.

Tyler Lyons

Opponents have come up swinging against Tyler Lyons so far this season.  24 of the 57 batters he’s faced (42.1%) have swung at his first pitch – a more aggressive rate than anyone else on the staff.  Only 25.1% (64 of 255) swung at his first offering last year.  Trevor Rosenthal is next highest at 38.6%.

It does make for faster at bats, though.  Tyler is throwing a team-low 3.32 pitches per plate appearance.

Kevin Siegrist

Kevin Siegrist has been the most enticing pitcher on the staff so far.  Nobody is getting batters to swing at half of their pitches, but Siegrist is closest at 49.3% (103 of his 209 pitches).  Siegrist, not coincidentally, also throws the highest percentage of strikes overall (68.4%).  You would think, therefore, that his pitches per plate appearances would be relatively low, but he checks in third highest on the team at 4.02 (behind Rosenthal’s 4.77 and Oh’s 4.43).

Perhaps no number conveys the unsettled nature of the pitching staff (and, in fact the team) than this.  Last season, Kevin Siegrist and Trevor Rosenthal ranked sixth and seventh on the team in batters faced (just behind the guys in the rotation) with 312 and 287.  Through 32 games so far this season, they rank eleventh and twelfth – the lowest totals on the staff – with 52 and 44 respectively (Matt Bowman is tied for eleventh with 52).  So high a percentage of our games have been relatively noncompetitive (on one side or the other) that our presumptive back-of-bullpen weapons have become the least used pitchers on our staff.

Offense Pushes Arizona Around Again, 11-4

During the three games against the Cubs that closed out the last home stand and the first game in San Diego, the roller-coaster offense managed a total of 7 runs.  They have scored at least 7 runs in each of the five games since.  The season is 21 games old, and the Cardinals are still averaging 6.52 runs per game and slugging .504 as a team.

In winning four of these last five games, the rebounding Cardinal offense has hit .344 (66 hits in their last 192 at bats).  Twenty-four of the hits have been for extra bases, including 10 home runs.  In averaging 9 runs a game during this recent spree, the team has managed a .604 slugging percentage.

Along the way, they have beaten right-handed pitchers like so many drums.  After Corbin left last night, the Redbirds feasted on Arizona’s right handed bullpen to the tune of 6-for-14 (.429).  Over the last five games and 141 at bats, St Louis bats have slashed .376/.433/.695 against right-handers.

While going 7 for 18 (.389) with runners in scoring position last night, the Cardinals’ average in that situation actually went down.  Over the last five games, St Louis is hitting an even .400 (22-for-55) with a .673 slugging percentage with RISP.

The recent hitting spree has even extended to two-strike counts.  St Louis went 6-for-17 (.438) with four walks last night with two strikes on them.  The last 95 Cardinal batters who have hit with two strikes on them are batting .376 (32-for-85) with 9 walks.  The same holds true when there are two outs, the offense was also 6-for-14 with two outs last night, driving in 5 two-out runs.  Over the last five games, they have hit .368 (25-for-68) with two outs.  When the pitcher can’t get either the third strike or the third out, he’ll be in for a very long, short night.

Additionally, the late-inning thumping is starting to develop as a definite pattern.  Through five innings last night, the Cards had 2 runs on 3 hits.  Over the last four innings, they hit .478 and scored 9 runs.  Over the last five games, St Louis has scored a total of 6 runs while hitting just .227 in the first four innings of those games.  From the fifth innings on, the offense has kicked in 39 runs and hit .419.  All of their last ten home runs have come after the fourth inning.

Stephen Piscotty

Mr. Piscotty is heating up nicely in the midst of this resurgence.  After a 4-for-5 night, Piscotty has 11 hits in his last 24 at bats (.458) with 2 home runs and 7 RBIs (this is just the last 5 games) and a .792 slugging percentage.

Stephen’s only at bat against a right-hander last night was his RBI single against Delgado in the ninth.  The right-handed Piscotty is now 8 for his last 19 (.421) against right-handed pitchers.

Stephen took the first pitch in five of his six plate appearances last night, three of them balls and two others called strikes.  As Piscotty dials in, his selectivity improves.  He went 4-for-5 in the at bats where he took the first pitch.  He is 8 for his last 16 with three extra-base hits when laying off the first pitch thrown to him.  He was also 2-for-3 last night and 4-for-12 over the last five games when hitting with two-strikes on him.

Aledmys Diaz

At the very top of this over-achieving offense is rookie shortstop and eighth-place hitter Aledmys Diaz.  With two more hits last night, including the home run that switched the momentum of the game, Diaz is now hitting .591 (13-for-22) over the last five games, with 2 home runs and 5 RBIs of his own.  He has 21 total bases in his last 22 at bats (.955 slugging pct.).

Diaz is another right-handed batter who is currently savaging right-handed pitching.  One-for-two against righties last night, Diaz is 11 for his last 17 (.647) against them with a .941 slugging percentage.

Aledmys’ seventh inning single came on a 2-2 pitch.  Diaz has five hits in his last seven at bats with two strikes on him.

These waves of offense have mostly carried a pitching staff that still hasn’t completely righted itself.  The last time through the rotation, only two starters have managed quality starts, and the team ERA sits at an unimpressive 4.30.  This number includes a 5.52 ERA from the bullpen – most of this damage coming in the sixth inning of Monday’s game in Arizona.

One area where the pitchers have done well over these last five games is getting outs when there are runners in scoring position.  The Diamondbacks were only 1-for-8 last night, and over the five games opposing batters are just .204 hitters (10-for-49) in RISP situations.

Adam Wainwright

Of the 22 batters Adam Wainwright faced last night, only two swung at his first pitch.  For the evening, only four of the 37 Diamondback hitters offered at the first pitch.

Seung-hwan Oh

A bright spot all season, Oh has been one of a handful of relievers who have held solid during these last few choppy games.  Oh extinguished a two-on, one-out sixth inning mess and went on to retire all four batters he faced.  Seung-hwan has pitched in three of the last five games, retiring all eleven batters to face him – striking out six of the eleven.

Jonathan Broxton

Jonathan allowed a single to the left-hander Lamb, but retired all four of the right-handers to appear against him.  Over these last five games, righties are 0-for-11 with 4 strikeouts against him.